15* Penn State/Nebraska ABC Saturday No-Brainer on Penn State +9
Penn State vs. Nebraska,
11/10/2012 15:30 EDT,
Score: 23 - 32
Point Spread: +9/-110 Penn State
The postseason ban hasn’t seemed to phase this team one bit. They have shown a lot of pride this year under first-year head coach Bill O’Brien. After two losses to open the season, this team has won five of its last six with its only loss coming to Ohio State by a final of 23-35. That wasn’t a bad loss considering Nebraska lost to Ohio State 38-65.
Penn State has played its best football on the road this season. It is 3-1 straight up and a perfect 4-0 ATS on the road this year, outscoring opponents 30.7 to 11.7, or by an average of 19.0 points per game. The Nittany Lions just seem to be less distracted when they hit the road as it is probably a breath of fresh air for them due to the Sandusky scandal.
Nebraska’s strength is a rushing offense that ranks 6th in the country at 269.6 yards per game. Penn State has the answer for Taylor Martinez and company as it ranks 24th in the country against the run at 121.3 yards per game. It is giving up just 3.6 yards per carry this season.
The Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. They have consistently been undervalued all season because of the postseason ban. The Cornhuskers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Penn State is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 after a game where it committed one or less turnovers. Take the Nittany Lions Saturday.