5* NCAAF Game of the Week on Stanford -4.5

Oregon State vs. Stanford, 11/10/2012 15:00 EDT, Score: 23 - 27

Point Spread: -4½/-110 Stanford

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Loss

5* NCAAF Game of the Week on Stanford -4.5
The Cardinal have won three in a row with each of these wins coming by at least seven points. They are 5-0 this season at home where they have won by an average of 12.0 points. Four of these wins have come by at least six points.

Stanford has been a terrific investment. It is 15-6 against the spread in all games dating back to the start of last season. It easily covered the 27.5-point spread last week with a 48-0 win at Colorado. This victory is significant because the Cardinal are a perfect 11-0 ATS following a win by 28 points or more the last three seasons. They have won these games by an average of 28.2 points.

Stanford is also on a 7-0 ATS run off a huge blowout win by 35 points or more over a conference rival and a 9-0 ATS run after a game in which it had a turnover margin of +2 or better.

It is also worth noting that the Cardinal are 8-0 ATS all-time under coach Shaw after scoring 42 points or more in their last game. They have by an average of 22.8 points in this situation.

Stanford is 2-0 straight up and against the spread versus Oregon State the past two seasons. It won 38-13 as a 20-point favorite at Oregon State last season. It won 38-0 as a 14-point favorite at home in the 2010 meeting. The home team has covered the spread in four of the past five meetings. Lay the points.