4* Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska -2

Nebraska vs. Michigan State, 11/03/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 28 - 24

Point Spread: -2/-110 Nebraska

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Win

4* Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska -2
The Spartans can't be trusted at home, where they are on a 0-5 ATS slide, this week because of how poor they are on offense.

Michigan State is one of the worst offensive teams in the country. It ranks 111th in scoring offense with 19.2 points per game. It ranks 97th in total offense with 360.3 yards per game. It won’t be able to keep up with a Nebraska offense that ranks 15th in total offense with 489.1 yards per contest and 18th in scoring with 39.2 points per game.

Nebraska is 6-0 all-time against Michigan State, and those six wins have come by an average of 28.0 points. The Huskers won last last season’s meeting 24-3 as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Huskers have been at their best when the defense is opportunistic. Forcing Michigan into three turnovers last game is significant because the Huskers are on an 8-0 ATS run in road games after a game in which they forced three turnovers or more. They have won by an average of 13.9 points in this situation. Lay the number.