4* NCAAF Afternoon Delight on Rutgers -13.5

Kent State vs. Rutgers, 10/27/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 35 - 23

Point Spread: -13½/-110 Rutgers

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

4* NCAAF Afternoon Delight on Rutgers -13.5
The undefeated Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and I expect them to keep right on rolling against Kent State.

The Golden Flashes have won have five straight but have done their damage against teams from non-BCS conferences. They were blown out 47-14 at Kentucky in their only game against a BCS conference team this season. That doesn't bode well for Kent State because Kentucky (1-7) isn't very good.

The Rutgers' defense, which ranks 3rd in the nation with 11.3 points allowed per game, should dominate this game. It's significant that Rutgers held Temple to 10 points last week because it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in its previous game.

The fact the Scarlet Knights, who rank 3rd in the nation against the run with 69.1 yards allowed per game, have held their last two opponents to 125 rushing yards or less is also significant because they are 6-0 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games over the last 3 seasons.

Kent State relies on its running game to move the football, but I don't expect it to have much luck on the ground against one of the nation's best run-stuffing units.

Lastly, the Golden Flashes are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. The Scarlet Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 versus the MAC. Lay the points.