5* OVER Indiana/Navy

Indiana vs. Navy, 10/20/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 30 - 31

Total: -110/+61 Over

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Push

Going OVER the total here. Indiana is scoring 35ppg and giving up nearly 32. Navy is scoring barely 20 and giving up 22. Something seems odd here. Say we middle out these averages and you would be somewhere around 27-17, maybe 28-20. Either way, 50 seems more logical than 60. But as Lee Corso says. Not so fast my friend... We now that Navy will want to unleash its 200+ yards a game rush attack vs a defense that gives up over 220 on the ground. Hoosiers will give up chunks of yards there, and some points. Indiana has a pretty good aerial unit, a top 20 bunch, and that should exploit a Navy weakness. I would not be surprised to this total challenged by halftime. Would not shock me at all to see 40+ points by the half. Navy has some under trends, but the Hoosiers on the flip side. 20-8 over last 28 on the road is a good jumping off. Poor defenses vs another teams offensive strength will get us the over. 5* OVER Indiana/Navy