4* Big 12 Game of the Week on Oklahoma State -13.5

Iowa State vs. Oklahoma State, 10/20/2012 12:00 EDT, Score: 10 - 31

Point Spread: -13½/-110 Oklahoma State

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

4* Big 12 Game of the Week on Oklahoma State -13.5
This game is all about revenge for Oklahoma State, who blew a 24-7 lead and a shot at the BCS Championship in a 37-31 overtime loss at Iowa State last season. You know what they say about paybacks.

I have no doubt Oklahoma State will want this game more because of last season's turn of events. And, the Cyclones won't have an answer for Oklahoma State's offense, which ranks No. 1 in the nation with 601.4 yards per game. An Iowa State offense that ranks 101st with 342.8 yards per game won't be able to keep pace.

The fact the Cowboys rank 9th in the nation in rushing with 263.2 yards per game is significant because Iowa State is only 9-22 ATS ATS in its last 31 road games versus good rushing teams averaging 200 rushing yards or more per game. It has lost by an average score of 43.0 to 18.2 in this situation.

Last week's 6-point home loss to K-State is also significant because the Cyclones are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games following a close loss of 7 points or less to a conference rival. They have lost by an average score of 38.9 to 21.1 in this situation.

Oklahoma State is on a 13-3 ATS run at home against teams with a win percentage of 60% to 75%. It is on a 38-17 ATS run as a favorite and a 21-10 ATS run as a home favorite. The Cowboys are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss.

Lastly, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.