3* Sun Belt Game of the Week on Western Kentucky -1

3* Sun Belt Game of the Week on Western Kentucky -1

Western Kentucky vs. Troy, 10/11/2012 19:30 EDT, Score: 31 - 26

Point Spread: -1/-110 Western Kentucky

Sportsbook: BETONLINE

Result: Win

3* Sun Belt Game of the Week on Western Kentucky -1
The Hilltoppers are rolling and we'll hop on this money train tonight.
Consider that Western Kentucky is 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Taggart when it checks into a game following 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread. WKU is also 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Taggart in road games in weeks 5 through 9. It has won these contests by an average score of 31.3 to 20.5.
In addition, the Hilltoppers are 9-0 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 ATS after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons, 8-0 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons, 9-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons, 8-0 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better over the last 2 seasons and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record.
The Hilltoppers racked up 338 yards on the ground in last season's 41-18 win over Troy. The Trojans have remained susceptible to the run as they rank 92nd in the nation with 188.8 rushing yards allowed per game. WKU is averaging 213.0 rushing yards per game, and I expect it to run all over the Trojans on its way to another victory.


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