3* NFL "Total" Dominator on Cardinals/Rams Under 39.5

Arizona vs. St. Louis, 10/04/2012 20:20 EDT, Score: 3 - 17

Total: -107/+39½ Under

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

3* NFL "Total" Dominator on Cardinals/Rams Under 39.5
This may seem like a low number to some, but we're talking about two of the weakest offenses in the NFL. The Rams are 27th in the NFL with 287.0 yards per game, and the Cardinals are 31st with 271.8 yards per game.

It's also to our benefit that both teams have been pretty solid defensively. The Cardinals are 3rd in the league in scoring defense with 15.2 points allowed per game. The Rams have settled in after a couple poor defensive efforts to start the season and have held their last two opponents to an average of 296.5 yards and 18.0 points per game.

These two have played to the under in 7 of their last 8 meetings and have come in under the posted number for this game in 3 of their last 4.

Consider that plays under on any NFL team when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points, provided it is a Thursday game, are 22-4 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average posted total of 39.7 in this situation but have only seen an average of 32.9 total points scored. Bet the under.