4* Monday Night Football SMASH on Bears +3.5

Chicago vs. Dallas, 10/01/2012 20:30 EDT, Score: 34 - 18

Point Spread: +3½/-120 Chicago

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Win

4* Monday Night Football SMASH on Bears +3.5
The Cowboys have been a poor investment at 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday Night Football games. They have been almost a dead fade when laying points as they are 4-17 ATS as a favorite since the start of the 2010 season. They have only won by an average of 2.2 points in this situation.

The Bears, meanwhile, have been a solid investment on the road as long they enter with some momentum. Consider that they are 6-0 ATS in road games since the start of the 2010 season if checking in with wins in 2 out of their last 3 games. They have won these 6 contests by an average score of 22.7 to 12.0.

Dallas' suspect offensive line gave up 4 sacks against Tampa Bay. That spells trouble with the NFL's top pass-rushing unit in town tonight. The Bears dumped Sam Bradford 6 times last week and entered Week 4 with a league-high 14.0 sacks. Expect Chicago's pass rush to be the difference tonight.

The Cowboys only have 7.0 sacks on the season and DeMarcus Ware has accounted for 4.0 of those. Expect Chicago to take Ware out of the game by leaving in extra protection (running backs, tight ends) for Jay Cutler. If the Bears can neutralize Ware, I love their chances. I'm confident they will.