Justin Verlander just lost to Ubaldo Jimenez and the Cleveland Indians on May 11th at home by a final of 6-7. I look for Verlander to come back extra motivated tonight to get revenge on Jimenez and company.

Verlander has gone 4-4 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.296 WHIP through nine starts this season. Jimenez has gone 3-2 with a 5.31 ERA in eight starts, including 1-2 with a 9.72 ERA in four home starts. Jimenez is also 5-7 with a 5.12 ERA in 14 career starts against Detroit.

Detroit is 45-28 against the run line (+20.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. I look for Verlander to match Max Scherzer's gem last night en route to a 5-1 Detroit victory. Take the Tigers on the Run Line Wednesday.

The Chicago Cubs get the nod Wednesday at an excellent price against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Francisco Liriano is getting way too much respect here, while Jeff Samardzija is once again being undervalued.

I have no doubt that Samardzija is the better starter in this one folks. Chicago's ace has been solid this season, posting a 3.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP with 64 strikeouts over 56 2/3 innings.

Sure, Liriano has pitched well, but he has only made two starts this season. His 1.64 ERA through those two starts is a little misleading because he was able to get out of trouble. He put plenty of runners on base with his 1.545 WHIP, allowing 17 base runners over 11 innings.

Samardzija owns the Pirates, going 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.400 WHIP in three starts having never lost. He has allowed just two earned runs and 10 base runners over 25 innings while striking out 23. Roll with the Cubs Wednesday.

I've believed that Indiana has been the most underrated team in the entire 2013 playoffs. Once again, the Pacers are undervalued in Game 1 of this series with the Miami Heat as a massive 8-point road underdog.

Miami could not have had an easier path to the Eastern Conference Finals. It got to face the only team in the playoffs with a losing record in Milwaukee, and it also played a depleted Chicago Bulls team that just simply did not have the talent to be competitive.

I believe that easy path is going to work against the Heat as they won't be ready for the fight they are going to get from Indiana in Game 1. They have basically just had to go through the motions to this point to win games, but that won't be the case against the Pacers.

Plus, Miami is going to be rusty coming into this one. The Heat have not played since beating Chicago 94-91 on May 15th. It had a big layoff after sweeping the Bucks on April 28th, and didn't get to start the Chicago series until May 6th. It would come out rusty and lose to the Bulls 86-93 at home in Game 1.

Remember, the Pacers took a 2-1 series lead in the playoffs against Miami last year before losing the last three. Also, the Pacers have won two out of three against the Heat this season. They simply match up well with Miami considering Paul George and Lance Stephenson are two of the most underrated defenders in the league.

Both George and Stephenson can check Lebron James and Dwyane Wade as well as anyone in the NBA. Plus, the Pacers have a big edge inside with Roy Hibbert and David West. They can exploit Miami's biggest weakness, which is its interior play.

The Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Indiana is 39-18 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent since 1996. The Pacers are 46-26 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 25 or more fouls since 1996. Bet Indiana Wednesday.

The Kansas City Royals are looking to get back on track in this series with the lowly Houston Astros. They had lost four straight after a Game 1 loss, but they bounced back with a 7-3 victory last night.

I like the Royals' chances of a two-plus run triumph once again tonight given the massive edge they have on the mound. James Shields looks to continue his dominance while outdueling Jordan Lyles.

Shields has posted a 2.45 ERA and a 0.955 WHIP through nine starts this season, including a 1.50 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in his last three. Lyles has gone 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in four starts, including 1-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in three home starts.

Houston is 25-86 (-38.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.4 runs/game in this spot. Lyles is 9-32 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. He is losing by 2.5 runs/game in this spot. Bet the Royals on the Run Line Wednesday.

The Los Angeles Dodgers should never be this big of an underdog given the talent they have on their team. They are showing arguably their best value of the season tonight as a big road underdog to the Atlanta Braves.

Year in and year out, Chris Capuano is one of the most underrated starters in the league. The left-hander is 5-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 10 career starts against Atlanta.

The Dodgers are 19-4 (+16.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 3.8 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Capuano is a very profitable 21-14 (+15.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997. Roll with the Dodgers Saturday.

Great value here with the Milwaukee Brewers as a big road underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals don't have the kind of edge on the mound that this line would indicate.

Marco Estrada has been dominant away from hitter-friendly Milwaukee. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.949 WHIP through four road starts in 2013.

The Brewers are 10-1 in Estrada's last 11 starts vs. National League Central opponents. Milwaukee is 6-1 in Estrada's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. The Brewers are 4-1 in Estrada's last 5 starts as an underdog. Take the Brewers Saturday.

The Indiana Pacers will close out the New York Knicks in Game 6 in blowout fashion. Indiana hasn't lost at home the entire playoffs, and it's not about to start losing today.

This has been one of the best home teams all season, especially in the playoffs. The Pacers are 35-11 SU & 27-19 ATS at home this year, outscoring opponents by 8.6 points/game.

New York is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing

Rarely will you ever get Felix Hernandez at this kind of price. I'll gladly take advantage Sunday as he's only a small favorite over the Cleveland Indians.

This is one of the best starters in the league. Year in and year out, Hernandez goes under the radar because he pitches in Seattle. Hernandez is 5-2 with a 1.53 ERA in nine starts this season, including 4-1 with a 1.29 ERA on the road.

Seattle is 9-1 (+9.3 Units) against the money line with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. After losing the first two games of this series, I look for the Mariners to bounce back in Game 3. Roll with the Mariners Sunday.

The New York Mets are showing their best value of the season Sunday. The Chicago Cubs shouldn't be this heavily favored against anyone, even the Mets.

Dillon Gee is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in three career starts against the Cubs. In his last start against Chicago, Gee gave up one earned run over eight innings of a 3-1 victory.

Travis Wood is 6-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. Chicago is 40-76 (-32.7 Units) against the money line after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Take the Cubs Sunday.

The Memphis Grizzlies are a perfect 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall. This has been the most underrated team in the league all season, and it's still the case in the playoffs.

I would normally have a longer analysis than this, but there's just no need to beat around the bush. Memphis is going to win this Game 1 outright, but I'm just taking the points for some insurance. Bet the Grizzlies Sunday.

The Atlanta Braves have no business being this heavily favored over the Minnesota Twins Monday. The Twins actually have the edge on the mound in this one, yet they are a big road underdog here.

Kevin Correia has been going under the radar all season. The right-hander has gone 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.230 WHIP through eight starts in 2013. Correia is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA in seven career starts against Atlanta as well.

Julio Teheran had a solid spring training for Atlanta, but he hasn't been able to convert that success into the regular season. Teheran is 2-1 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.476 WHIP in seven starts this year, including 0-0 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.936 WHIP over two home starts.

Correia is a very profitable 36-36 (+17.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games, and 2-7 in their last 9 interleague home games. Roll with the Twins Monday.

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be a much heavier favorite over the Milwaukee Brewers tonight with ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound. They have a huge edge on the rubber over Yovani Gallardo and the Brewers in this one.

Kershaw has gone 4-2 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.871 WHIP through nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.794 WHIP in his last three. The former Cy Young winning has pitched eight shutout innings in two of his last three starts against Milwaukee.

Yovani Gallardo has completely lost it this season. That's probably a big reason why he got a DWI earlier this year. Gallardo has gone 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.462 WHIP through nine starts in 2013. He is also 1-3 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in six career starts against Los Angeles.

Kershaw is 16-2 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. The Brewers are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 0-6 in its last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. These three trends combine for a 30-2 system backing Los Angeles. Bet the Dodgers Monday.

Arizona starter Patrick Corbin has been one of the most underrated starters in the league all season. He continues to get overlooked by oddsmakers tonight as only a small favorite over the washed up Jon Garland and the Colorado Rockies.

Corbin has gone 6-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 1.069 WHIP over eight starts in 2013, and the Diamondbacks are a perfect 8-0 in those eight contests. The left-hander is also 3-0 with a 0.89 ERA and 1.082 WHIP over his last three starts.

Jon Garland is far past his prime. The veteran right-hander is 3-4 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three.

Corbin is 1-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his last two starts against Arizona, allowing three earned runs over 13 2/3 innings of work. Garland is 3-4 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in nine career starts against Arizona. He allowed four runs, three earned, and 10 base runners over 6 innings in a 2-4 loss at Arizona on April 28th.

Corbin is 9-0 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after giving up

The Los Angeles Dodgers are showing excellent value as a small road favorite over the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. Given the edge they have on the mound, they should be a much heavier favorite in this one.

There have been some rumors surrounding the possible firing of manager Don Mattingly. He didn't necessarily call anyone out, but he did say that he needed Clayton Kershaw and Zach Greinke to be dominant, and for Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier, Adrian Gonzalez and Carl Crawford to produce more in the meat of their line-up.

Los Angeles responded well last night with a 3-1 victory over Milwaukee in Game 1 behind a complete game from Kershaw, and a couple of homers from Kemp and Ethier. Now, I fully expect a dominant outing from Zach Greinke tonight.

Greinke has gone 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.780 WHIP through three starts this season. He'll be up against Hiram Burgos, who is 1-2 with a 6.58 ERA and 1.500 WHIP through five starts this year. The Brewers are just 3-15 in May games this season.

Greinke is 26-8 (+16.2 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Milwaukee is 4-16 (-11.6 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. Greinke is 41-14 (+21.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Take the Dodgers Tuesday.

Almost everything that could go right for San Antonio in Game 1 of this series did. The Spurs shot 52.6% from the field, including 14-of-29 (48.3%) from 3-point range.

I look for Memphis to make the proper adjustments, which will certainly help cool off the Spurs as they clearly won't shoot nearly that well again. This has been a resilient Grizzlies' team all year, and I fully expect them to give San Antonio all it can handle in Game 2.

Memphis is still a blistering 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall. San Antonio should not be a bigger favorite than it was in Game 1, which is another reason why I believe there is a lot of value in backing the Grizzlies here in Game 2. The public is overreacting from the Spurs' blowout win in Game 1.

The Grizzlies are 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Lionel Hollins is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more as the coach of Memphis. Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday.

After losing Game 1 of this series to San Diego 4-2, I look for the St. Louis Cardinals to bounce back with a victory in Game 2 behind ace Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals have a big edge on the mound in this one.

Wainwright is 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.005 WHIP through nine starts this season, and 3-2 with a 0.97 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in five career starts against San Diego. Edinson Volquez is 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.582 WHIP in nine starts this year, and 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.477 WHIP in nine career starts against St. Louis.

St. Louis has been remarkable at bouncing back from a loss this season. It has only gone on a losing streak twice, and those were two and three games skids. The Cardinals are 13-3 following a loss in 2013, and 20-6 in their last 26 games following a loss since last year.

The Cardinals are 5-0 in Wainwright's last 5 starts as a road favorite. St. Louis is 7-1 in its last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 11-1 (+10.7 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. Roll with St. Louis Tuesday.

Justin Verlander just lost to Ubaldo Jimenez and the Cleveland Indians on May 11th at home by a final of 6-7. I look for Verlander to come back extra motivated tonight to get revenge on Jimenez and company.

Verlander has gone 4-4 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.296 WHIP through nine starts this season. Jimenez has gone 3-2 with a 5.31 ERA in eight starts, including 1-2 with a 9.72 ERA in four home starts. Jimenez is also 5-7 with a 5.12 ERA in 14 career starts against Detroit.

Detroit is 45-28 against the run line (+20.9 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. I look for Verlander to match Max Scherzer's gem last night en route to a 5-1 Detroit victory. Take the Tigers on the Run Line Wednesday.

The Chicago Cubs get the nod Wednesday at an excellent price against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Francisco Liriano is getting way too much respect here, while Jeff Samardzija is once again being undervalued.

I have no doubt that Samardzija is the better starter in this one folks. Chicago's ace has been solid this season, posting a 3.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP with 64 strikeouts over 56 2/3 innings.

Sure, Liriano has pitched well, but he has only made two starts this season. His 1.64 ERA through those two starts is a little misleading because he was able to get out of trouble. He put plenty of runners on base with his 1.545 WHIP, allowing 17 base runners over 11 innings.

Samardzija owns the Pirates, going 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.400 WHIP in three starts having never lost. He has allowed just two earned runs and 10 base runners over 25 innings while striking out 23. Roll with the Cubs Wednesday.

I've believed that Indiana has been the most underrated team in the entire 2013 playoffs. Once again, the Pacers are undervalued in Game 1 of this series with the Miami Heat as a massive 8-point road underdog.

Miami could not have had an easier path to the Eastern Conference Finals. It got to face the only team in the playoffs with a losing record in Milwaukee, and it also played a depleted Chicago Bulls team that just simply did not have the talent to be competitive.

I believe that easy path is going to work against the Heat as they won't be ready for the fight they are going to get from Indiana in Game 1. They have basically just had to go through the motions to this point to win games, but that won't be the case against the Pacers.

Plus, Miami is going to be rusty coming into this one. The Heat have not played since beating Chicago 94-91 on May 15th. It had a big layoff after sweeping the Bucks on April 28th, and didn't get to start the Chicago series until May 6th. It would come out rusty and lose to the Bulls 86-93 at home in Game 1.

Remember, the Pacers took a 2-1 series lead in the playoffs against Miami last year before losing the last three. Also, the Pacers have won two out of three against the Heat this season. They simply match up well with Miami considering Paul George and Lance Stephenson are two of the most underrated defenders in the league.

Both George and Stephenson can check Lebron James and Dwyane Wade as well as anyone in the NBA. Plus, the Pacers have a big edge inside with Roy Hibbert and David West. They can exploit Miami's biggest weakness, which is its interior play.

The Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Indiana is 39-18 ATS after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent since 1996. The Pacers are 46-26 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 25 or more fouls since 1996. Bet Indiana Wednesday.

The Kansas City Royals are looking to get back on track in this series with the lowly Houston Astros. They had lost four straight after a Game 1 loss, but they bounced back with a 7-3 victory last night.

I like the Royals' chances of a two-plus run triumph once again tonight given the massive edge they have on the mound. James Shields looks to continue his dominance while outdueling Jordan Lyles.

Shields has posted a 2.45 ERA and a 0.955 WHIP through nine starts this season, including a 1.50 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in his last three. Lyles has gone 1-1 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in four starts, including 1-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in three home starts.

Houston is 25-86 (-38.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by 2.4 runs/game in this spot. Lyles is 9-32 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. He is losing by 2.5 runs/game in this spot. Bet the Royals on the Run Line Wednesday.