Barry Zito has been unstoppable at home for the Giants this season. In his 5 home starts he has posted a 0.55 ERA and a perfect 3-0 record. The Giants have a .278 team batting average when playing at home so run support should not be an issue today. They are facing a Colorado team that has a losing record on the road at 11-12 this season.

Zito has had a very successful career against Colorado going 8-3 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.181 WHIP. His team’s record is 14-6 against Colorado when Zito is on the mound. For Colorado’s Juan Nicasio the numbers are nowhere near that good. Nicasio’s team is 1-2 in his 3 career starts against San Francisco. Zito did not have a great outing in his last start at Colorado and I expect him to rebound with a solid game today.

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The Cubs are averaging 4.4 runs per game with a .260 batting average against right handed starters this season. They will be facing Homer Bailey in today’s game. Bailey has a 2-3 record in 9 starts this season so the Reds have not been very dangerous when he is on the mound.

Travis Wood will get the start for Chicago. Wood is 4-2 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.912 WHIP making him the best pitcher the Cubs have in their rotation. In his last three starts Wood has a 1.74 ERA and a 2-0 record. He is facing a Cincinnati team that is batting .245 against division opponents this season.

The Cubs are 4-1 in Wood’s last 5 starts against NL Central teams. He is one of the best lefties in the league which spells even more trouble for the Reds considering they are 1-4 in their last 5 games against a left handed starter. With Wood on the mound there is simply too much value to pass up on Chicago.

There is a lot of value on the Mets today with Dillon Gee on the mound. Gee has posted a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in his four home starts this season. He has had a solid career against the Braves with his team going 5-3 thanks to his 3.13 ERA.

For Atlanta’s Mike Minor the numbers are not quite as good. Minor has a 5.64 career ERA against the Mets and his team has lost two of the last three games he has started against them. He may have trouble getting run support from his team today considering how well Gee has pitched against the Braves and the fact that Atlanta is batting .241 as a team on the road.

There are some interesting trends for today’s game. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games and 2-5 in Minor’s last 7 road starts against teams with a losing record. The Mets are 7-3 in Gee’s last 10 Saturday starts and 5-2 in his last 7 starts against Atlanta.

The Nationals look nothing like the team from last season. They have a .227 batting average and are scoring a mere 3.4 runs per game this season. They are facing a Philadelphia team that is heating up going 4-3 in their last 7 games with a .258 batting average.

Jonathan Pettibone will get the start for Philadelphia today. Pettibone has a 2.79 ERA in his last three starts and he is 3-0 in his 6 starts this season. Pettibone would have more wins if he was getting run support from his team, and with the Phillies bats heating up I don’t expect that to be an issue today.

The Nationals will have Dan Haren on the mound. Haren has a 6.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and he is 0-3 in his career against the Phillies. His team’s record in those starts is 0-4 as Haren received one no decision. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-0 in their last 5 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Memphis is playing in a must win situation today. They cannot afford to fall three games behind against the Spurs and they know it. The venue for this game has moved to the Grizzlies home court so I expect them to have a very strong performance in this game.

Memphis is 37-9 at home this season and their defense has held opponents to 87.2 points per game which leads all teams in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Spurs definitely do not play great on the road as 19 of their 26 losses on the season have come away from home.

Defensively San Antonio has struggled on the road allowing opponents 97.8 points per game. That spells big trouble for the Spurs today, especially when you consider the fact that Memphis is 15-5 ATS when playing against a top tier team winning 70% or more of their games this season. The Grizzlies defense should prove to be too much for the Spurs today as Memphis picks up a big home court win.

The Cincinnati Reds have really struggled on the road this year. They have a .243 batting average and an 11-12 record. They almost lost last night against the Mets and I think their fortunes will change for today’s game.

Mike Leake is getting the start for Cincinnati. He has a 1.874 WHIP in his 4 starts on the road and he has given up 34 hits in just 21.3 innings pitched. He does not have a lot of experience against the Mets posting a 1-1 career record against them.

The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 games when facing a left handed starter and 1-4 in Leake’s last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Jon Niese will start for New York today and the lefty is 5-2 in his last 7 starts when playing on 4 days of rest. There is simply too much value to pass up on the Mets today.

The White Sox picked up a fluke victory last night but they will not have the same luck today when they face off against 3-1 Felix Doubront. Chicago is batting .253 against left handed starters and they have a 4-7 record in those games. The White Sox are only a .500 team at home and they average a mere 3.6 runs per game.

The Red Sox have posted a 14-8 record on the road this season and they are averaging 5.4 runs per game. In the past 7 games their scoring average is up slightly from that number at 5.7 runs per game. Felix Doubront has never lost to Chicago posting a 2-0 record with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.250 WHIP.

The White Sox have Jose Quintana on the mound. Quintana has a 5.40 ERA in his 3 starts at home and has made an average of only 5 innings per start. He is 0-1 in his last 3 starts and I expect him to have a very poor performance today against such a prolific hitting team.

There is a lot of value in this line when the Rockies send Jhoulys Chacin to the mound today. Chacin is coming off a poor performance against San Francisco but this is still the same pitcher that has allowed only 1 home run all season. That is an impressive feat, especially when you consider his home ball park is one of the most hitter friendly stadiums in the league.

Chacin also has a strong history of success when throwing against Arizona. He has a 2.54 career ERA against the Diamondbacks and a 4-2 record. He has faced them once this season posting a 6.3 inning performance in which he allowed no earned runs and gave up only 3 hits.

The Rockies have performed well in the favorite position posting a 17-4 record against the money line. They are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts as a favorite and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. You should always play against road underdogs like Arizona when they are allowing .35 stolen bases per game or less and coming off 6 straight games allowing 4 runs or less. This system is 51-15 (77%) against the money line.

There is a reason this line is only a point off the line from game 1 of this matchup. The San Antonio Spurs shot 52.6% from the field against the best defense in the post season and that anomaly is not going to take place again. The Grizzlies typically hold opponents to 43.6% shooting and 89.8 points per game.

This matchup falls into a system to play against home teams coming off two straight wins by 10 points or more when they are playing against an opponent that scored 85 points or less in the previous game. This system is 40-17 (70%) ATS over the last five seasons.

In head to head history between these teams the games have been very close. Back in April the Grizzlies won straight up by two points. Excluding the game 1 matchup between these teams three of the last four games have been decided by 5 points or less and there is no reason tonight’s game will be any different.

Adam Wainwright has been nothing short of spectacular for the Cardinals this season. In 9 starts he has posted a 2.51 ERA and averages 7.2 innings per start. In his career against San Diego Wainwright has a 0.97 ERA and a 0.946 WHIP. The Cardinals have a .273 batting average against right handed starters and they average 5.1 runs in those games so run support will not be an issue today.

San Diego will have Edinson Volquez getting the start today. Volquez has a 5.55 ERA and has allowed 53 hits this season in a total of 48.7 innings pitched. His numbers are below average across the board and St Louis will be one of the best hitting teams he has faced this season. Run support for the Padres should be a major issue as they post a .246 batting average this season.

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We are getting a lot of value on the Nationals tonight when they send Stephen Strasburg to the mound. Strasburg has a 2-5 record this season in 9 starts which is why the Nationals are not coming into this game as a heavy favorite when they face Matt Cain and his 5.43 ERA. The Nationals have had trouble providing run support to Strasburg but a matchup against Cain is just what they need to break out of that funk.

Even though Strasburg is 2-5 on the season he still has a 2.83 ERA and 1.116 WHIP. In his last three starts he has thrown even better posting a 2.25 ERA and 0.950 WHIP. Strasburg has never lost to the Giants going 2-0 against them in his career.

Last night’s game may have been a blowout for San Francisco but the Giants are still the same team that has lost five of their last seven games. With Strasburg and Cain getting the start we have a very favorable matchup advantage. Washington is 8-0 against the money line in road games when they are revenging a road blowout loss against an opponent of 6 runs or more over the last two seasons.

This line is still very favorable for Detroit when you consider the pitching matchup. Justin Verlander has posted a 3.17 ERA on the season and he has 60 strikeouts in just 54 innings pitched. The Tigers have a .280 team batting average and they are scoring 5.3 runs per game. Cleveland is 20-42 the last two seasons after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span.

Cleveland will have Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound today. Jimenez has posted a 9.72 ERA in his 4 home starts. He has been rocked to the tune of 18 earned runs and 13 walks while averaging a mere 4.2 innings per start. Jimenez has not had much luck against Detroit throughout his career. He has a 5-7 record and a 5.12 ERA and 1.464 WHIP when facing the Tigers.

The Yankees have a huge advantage at the starting pitcher position. Jason Hammel has been rocked in his last three starts. He has a 10.43 ERA and 2.318 WHIP. He has not been much better when pitching at home posting a 7.79 ERA and an 0-2 record.

The Yankees will have Hiroki Kuroda leading the way today. Kuroda has been unbelievable this season posting a 6-2 record in 9 starts with a 1.99 ERA and 0.955 WHIP. His last three starts have been even better at 1.59 on the ERA and 0.794 for his WHIP.

Baltimore has been a decent hitting team this season but their numbers are at the worst when facing division opponents. The Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game on the road. They should have no problem exceeding that average since they are facing Hammel and the Orioles will have a hard time scoring runs against Kuroda. When coming off a game in which the Yankees scored and allowed 3 runs or less they are 9-1 (90%) against the money line.

The oddsmakers are not giving much respect to arguably one of the best defenses in the league this season. Indiana has not allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or more from the field in over a month coming into this game. Miami did not look good in their opener against Chicago and with the Heat not having played in a week I expect them to come out a little sluggish in this matchup too.

The Pacers defense has held opponents to an average of 89.4 points per game in the playoffs on 41.6% shooting from the field. This is a defense that plays just as good on the road as they do at home holding opponents to a mere 91.6 points per game. While the Pacers may not have a high scoring offensive unit, they should certainly not have any problems staying within 8 points against a Miami defense allowing almost 95 points per game at home.

Indiana is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. They are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games when they are playing on 3 or more days of rest. The extra rest afforded to the Pacers will prove to be very beneficial to an already stout defense. Expect the Pacers to come out strong and the defense to keep this game close until the end.

The Red Sox will have another one of their many ace pitchers on the mound today with Clay Buchholz. His opposition for Chicago will be (1-2) Hector Santiago. Buchholz has posted a 6-0 record this season with a 1.78 ERA. The most impressive thing about this pitcher is his ability to go deep into the game which is a tremendous help to the bullpen when trying to get the save. Buchholz averages 7.3 innings per start.

Santiago pitches a lot of relieve too. He has thrown in 11 games and has only 4 starts. His ERA has been solid, but the White Sox do not get much longevity from the pitcher. That makes for a bad combination when they go up against a Boston team that averages 5.2 runs per game on the road while the White Sox are scoring a mere 3.5 runs per game at home.

The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Buchholz’s last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. The White Sox come into this game at 2-5 in Santiago’s last 7 starts. Things are trending heavily in favor of Boston and with Buchholz on the mound the Red Sox should have no problems picking up the win.

There is a lot of value on the Cubs as an underdog for today’s game. Over the past 7 games they are averaging 5.1 runs per game with a .276 batting average. They will have Edwin Jackson on the mound for this matchup. While Jackson is 1-6 on the season his poor record is not related to throwing bad games. He has never been able to get any run support and with the Cubs hitting as well as they are right now that should change today.

Jackson has a 3.11 ERA in his four road starts this season and has a 1.075 WHIP in that same span. He should have no problems holding the Pirates off. The Cub’s bullpen has been throwing well posting a 3.38 ERA on the road and they will have the opportunity to pick up a save. Jackson is 4-1 against the Pirates in his career and he will have no problems picking up career win number five today.

Jeanmar Gomez will get his fifth start of the season for the Pirates today. While Gomez’s ERA is respectable he has thrown more relief than he has as a starter. He is averaging just 4.7 innings per start so his endurance is a major issue for the Pirates. Gomez has never faced the Cubs and unfortunately for Pirates fans this is definitely not a good matchup situation for his first game against them.

It seems as though reality has finally sunk in for the Twins. They hit a nice win streak early in the season but they are now quickly back below .500 on the year. They have now lost 8 consecutive games after getting shelled by Atlanta last night. Now they are traveling from Atlanta to Detroit without rest to face a Detroit team that had the luxury of sleeping in their own beds last night.

The Tigers will have Rick Porcello on the mound for today’s game. Porcello has posted a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts with a 0.911 WHIP. The Twins will send 3-4 Scott Diamond to the mound along with his 4.99 ERA. The matchup between starters is heavily in favor of the Tigers. When you add in the fact that Detroit is hitting .280 as a team against a Minnesota team with a .221 batting average in their past 7 games and we have all the makings for a big Tigers win.

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Justin Masterson has been nothing short of spectacular for the Indians this season. He has posted a 7-2 record in 10 starts with a 2.83 ERA and 1.129 WHIP. In his last three starts he has improved on those numbers with a 1.17 ERA and 0.783 WHIP to go along with his 3-0 record. The Indian’s bullpen has been solid this season and with Masterson averaging 7.7 innings per game over his last three starts they should be able to easily pick up the save.

The Red Sox have not been hitting well posting a .243 batting average over their last 7 games. The bullpen has been blowing saves 50% of the time at home this season so even with Lackey on the mound Boston will be in trouble. Especially when you consider the fact that the Indians are averaging 6.4 runs per game with a .270 batting average over their last 7 games. With the way Cleveland is hitting and having Masterson on the mound it seems like the wrong team is favored in this game.

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The once red hot Atlanta Braves seem to be cooling off posting a 7-5 record in their last 12 games. As a team Atlanta is batting .245 and they are at their worst when playing on the road. They will send Kris Medlen to the mound today which spells even more trouble for Atlanta fans. Medlen is 1-5 on the season and when pitching on the road he is giving up over one home run per start. The Braves have lost two out of three in his last three starts with Medlen getting a losing decision in one of those games. Atlanta is 1-5 against the money line in their last 6 road games.

Jeremy Hefner is getting the start for New York today and although he has posted an 0-5 record his numbers are a bit deceiving. The reality is that Hefner has thrown 23 innings at home with a 3.52 ERA. In those 4 games he has allowed a mere 9 earned runs and 20 hits with a 1.261 WHIP. His home ERA and WHIP are both better than Medlen has been on the road. The fact that the Mets are such a large underdog in this game makes them a strong value play today.

After the scare the Pacers gave the Heat in game 1 of this series I expect them to respond the same way they did against Chicago, with a blowout win. The Heat are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and they are 5-2 ATS their last 7 games when playing with a day of rest.

The Heat have a statistical advantage from almost every angle. They are scoring more points per game, which goes hand in hand with their better shooting percentages, and they average less turnovers and have a stronger bench. While Indiana may have an edge defensively, the Heat have more scoring threats than any other team they have faced this season.

The achilles heel for Indiana is their inability to score points. They rank 23rd in the league averaging just 94.7 points per game. I expect Miami to have no problems breaking down the Indiana defense now that they have a full game worth of film to analyze. Add in the fact that Miami is playing on their home court and we have a blowout in the making.

This game comes down to pitching and the Mariners have a huge advantage with Joe Saunders on the mound against Justin Grimm. Saunders has a 3-0 record at home this season with a 0.94 ERA and 0.872 WHIP. He has averaged 7.2 innings per start in those games and has allowed only 1 home run.

The Rangers batting and scoring has been inconsistent on the road to say the least. That will be a major issue considering Grimm has posted a 6.48 ERA in his last three starts. Grimm has given up 22 hits in just 16.7 innings pitched. Texas is coming off a series against Oakland where they lost two of three games, scoring an average of 1.67 runs per game in that span.

The Mariners have played well in the home underdog position posting a 4-1 record in their last 5 games as a dog of +110 to +150 this season. They are 6-2 in their last 8 home games. With the advantage of Saunders over Grimm and the fact that Texas already struggles on the road the Mariners are the smart play for this matchup.

Barry Zito has been unstoppable at home for the Giants this season. In his 5 home starts he has posted a 0.55 ERA and a perfect 3-0 record. The Giants have a .278 team batting average when playing at home so run support should not be an issue today. They are facing a Colorado team that has a losing record on the road at 11-12 this season.

Zito has had a very successful career against Colorado going 8-3 with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.181 WHIP. His team’s record is 14-6 against Colorado when Zito is on the mound. For Colorado’s Juan Nicasio the numbers are nowhere near that good. Nicasio’s team is 1-2 in his 3 career starts against San Francisco. Zito did not have a great outing in his last start at Colorado and I expect him to rebound with a solid game today.

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The Cubs are averaging 4.4 runs per game with a .260 batting average against right handed starters this season. They will be facing Homer Bailey in today’s game. Bailey has a 2-3 record in 9 starts this season so the Reds have not been very dangerous when he is on the mound.

Travis Wood will get the start for Chicago. Wood is 4-2 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.912 WHIP making him the best pitcher the Cubs have in their rotation. In his last three starts Wood has a 1.74 ERA and a 2-0 record. He is facing a Cincinnati team that is batting .245 against division opponents this season.

The Cubs are 4-1 in Wood’s last 5 starts against NL Central teams. He is one of the best lefties in the league which spells even more trouble for the Reds considering they are 1-4 in their last 5 games against a left handed starter. With Wood on the mound there is simply too much value to pass up on Chicago.

There is a lot of value on the Mets today with Dillon Gee on the mound. Gee has posted a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in his four home starts this season. He has had a solid career against the Braves with his team going 5-3 thanks to his 3.13 ERA.

For Atlanta’s Mike Minor the numbers are not quite as good. Minor has a 5.64 career ERA against the Mets and his team has lost two of the last three games he has started against them. He may have trouble getting run support from his team today considering how well Gee has pitched against the Braves and the fact that Atlanta is batting .241 as a team on the road.

There are some interesting trends for today’s game. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 road games and 2-5 in Minor’s last 7 road starts against teams with a losing record. The Mets are 7-3 in Gee’s last 10 Saturday starts and 5-2 in his last 7 starts against Atlanta.

The Nationals look nothing like the team from last season. They have a .227 batting average and are scoring a mere 3.4 runs per game this season. They are facing a Philadelphia team that is heating up going 4-3 in their last 7 games with a .258 batting average.

Jonathan Pettibone will get the start for Philadelphia today. Pettibone has a 2.79 ERA in his last three starts and he is 3-0 in his 6 starts this season. Pettibone would have more wins if he was getting run support from his team, and with the Phillies bats heating up I don’t expect that to be an issue today.

The Nationals will have Dan Haren on the mound. Haren has a 6.50 ERA in his last 3 starts and he is 0-3 in his career against the Phillies. His team’s record in those starts is 0-4 as Haren received one no decision. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 5-0 in their last 5 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Memphis is playing in a must win situation today. They cannot afford to fall three games behind against the Spurs and they know it. The venue for this game has moved to the Grizzlies home court so I expect them to have a very strong performance in this game.

Memphis is 37-9 at home this season and their defense has held opponents to 87.2 points per game which leads all teams in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Spurs definitely do not play great on the road as 19 of their 26 losses on the season have come away from home.

Defensively San Antonio has struggled on the road allowing opponents 97.8 points per game. That spells big trouble for the Spurs today, especially when you consider the fact that Memphis is 15-5 ATS when playing against a top tier team winning 70% or more of their games this season. The Grizzlies defense should prove to be too much for the Spurs today as Memphis picks up a big home court win.