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February 24th, 2010



Texas A&M Aggies
(19-7, 14-8 ATS)

Baylor Bears
(20-6, 12-7 ATS)

There’s a big showdown in the Big XII on Wednesday night in Waco, and college basketball betting fanatics surely won’t want to miss this one! The Baylor Bears will play host to the Texas A&M Aggies with conference bragging rights on the line. With just two weeks to play in the regular season, A&M is tied with Missouri for third place in the Big XII at 8-4 in conference play. Baylor is just a game behind at 7-5, and if it has hopes of getting a bye in the first round of the conference tourney, a win tonight is incredibly important. In terms of March Madness, both teams look good and should be in regardless of what happens the rest of the way, but both would much rather see another notch or two in the win column just to feel save about getting out their dancing shoes.

The Aggies have covered six straight NCAA basketball spreads since losing at Oklahoma State on January 27th. They’re 5-1 SU in those games, with the one loss coming by just five points to the #1 team in the country. The defense has been absolutely stifling of late, holding Iowa State, Kansas, and Texas Tech to an average of just 60.0 points per game in this three-game stretch. G Donald Brown leads the team in scoring at 18.0 points per game, but he hasn’t played up to his average once in the L/3 games.

The Bears haven’t had much luck of late trying to beat the basketball betting lines. They’re just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 in spite of a 3-2 SU record. Leading scorer, G LaceDarius Dunn has lit up the Big XII this year, scoring 18.9 points per game. Baylor’s defense ranks ninth in the country in opposing field goal percentage at just 37.9%. For an offense that is scoring 77.1 points per game and shooting 48.4% from the floor, one would like to think that its record should be significantly better than 20-6.

Just three weeks ago, A&M knocked off the Bears 78-71 at home. As proof for just how important home court advantage is in college basketball, Baylor was +2 in that game and -7 now. The insinuation by the oddsmakers is that the Bears have the better team in this matchup, but that may not necessarily be the case. The Aggies feel like they’re the team in better form at this point, and even though grabbing an SU victory in Waco may be difficult, staying inside the touchdown spread shouldn’t be.

Selection: Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M is one of the best betting teams in the country on the road over a very long haul. The Aggies are 41-19 ATS in their L/60 roadies. The underdog is 11-2 ATS in the L/13 meetings of these Big XII rivals. Diamond Sportsbook currently has a college basketball betting line of the Aggies +7 for you to dig into right now!

October 28th, 2009

World Series Game 1
Philadelphia at N.Y. Yankees
Wednesday, 7:57 pm Eastern – Fox

A great pitching matchup begins the World Series on Wednesday night as the New York Yankees host the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1. It will be Cliff Lee going for the Phillies while CC Sabathia takes the mound for the Yankees. These former teammates have pitched extremely well during the postseason and each could get three starts in this series if it goes seven games.

The Yankees are a -163 favorite with a total of 7.5 at bookmaker sportsbook

Unlike past World Series matchups this one has everything. Each team has a premier ace pitcher, both teams have MVP sluggers and both teams can hit home runs. The teams met earlier this season for a series at Yankee Stadium and the Phillies took two of three.

The Phillies are trying to become the first team to repeat as World Series champs since the 1998-2000 Yankees, and the first team to do it in the National League since the 1975-76 Cincinnati Reds. The Yankees are well aware that it won’t be easy against the defending champs. “They’re the defending champs. They’re playing extremely well,” manager Joe Girardi said. “We know they’re an extremely tough opponent.”

The Yankees had the most wins in baseball betting this season and had little trouble getting past Minnesota and the Angels in the first two rounds of the playoffs.
Alex Rodriguez has been superb in the postseason and Sabathia has been almost unhittable. On the other side, the Phillies got amazing pitching from Cliff Lee while Ryan Howard had 14 RBIs in nine games against Colorado and the Dodgers this postseason.

Wednesday’s game should be a great duel as Lee is 2-0 in three starts this postseason with a 0.74 ERA. Sabathia is 3-0 this postseason with a 1.19 ERA. The only thing that might prevent a pitcher’s duel is their career numbers. Sabathia is 1-2 with a 5.55 ERA in four career starts against the Phillies while Lee is 4-4 with a 5.02 ERA in nine career starts against New York.

The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road underdog. The Phillies are 6-2 in Lee’s last 8 road starts. The Yankees are 41-10 in their last 51 home games. The Yankees are 10-1 in Sabathia’s last 11 starts as a home favorite.

Tonights Pick: Phillies

September 14th, 2009

The New England Patriots will be happy to have 2007 MVP Tom Brady back at the helm as they kick off their 2009 regular season at home against the Buffalo Bills in the first half of ESPN’s opening Monday Night Football doubleheader. Brady missed almost all of last season after throwing a league record 50 TD passes the previous season. Monday’s game also marks the regular season debut of Terrell Owens with the Bills.

New England is now a 11 point favorite with a total of 47.5 at bookmaker.

The Patriots will be trying to set an NFL record with their 12th straight win over the Bills. No NFL team in history has beaten another team 12 straight times. The Patriots have a powerful offense led by Brady, Randy Moss and Wes Welker but they have some defensive issues since a number of their veterans are gone. It will now be up to the young players like Jerod Mayo to carry the New England defense. “We have a lot of good leaders on our team and especially on the defensive side of the ball,” head coach Bill Belichick said. “No doubt about it, it’s different, but I think it’s good.”

The Bills are hoping that that addition of Owens will jump start their offense. Owens didn’t play much in the preseason and the Buffalo offense was so bad that the Bills fired offensive coordinator Turk Schonert. The Bills will be missing running back Marshawn Lynch who is suspended for the first three games of the season.

The last time the Bills defeated the Patriots was in the first game of the 2003 season. Since that time they have lost 11 straight by an average of 20.5 points per game.

Here are the NFL betting stats for Monday’s game. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 1. The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the AFC East. The Bills are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in New England.

The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games. The Patriots are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. the AFC East. The Patriots are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite.

The Under is 4-1-1 in the Bills last 6 vs. the AFC East. The Over is 5-2 in the Bills last 7 road games. The Over is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 games overall. The Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Bills and Patriots.

Pick: Take the over

August 28th, 2009

Friday, 8:00 pm Eastern – CBS

The Washington Redskins host the New England Patriots on Friday night and NFL odds have the home team as the underdog. That makes sense considering the first string Washington offense has done next to nothing so far in the preseason. Quarterback Jason Campbell has picked up right where he left off last season with his poor play. He is just 4 for 13 for 48 yards this preseason. Going up against Tom Brady and the potent New England offense does not bode well for the Redskins on Friday.

New England is a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 37.5 at SBG Global.

Washington’s first string offense has not even scored a touchdown so far in the NFL betting preseason. The second and third string quarterbacks have actually played better for Washington. Todd Collins has the #2 job nailed down but the #3 job is now wide open between Colt Brennan and rookie Chase Daniel. It was thought that Brennan would challenge Collins for the backup job but now he might not even make the team. Daniel was 6-of-8 passes for 52 yards and a pair of touchdowns last week. “We saw that Todd was not willing to bow down and give up his No. 2 spot,” Washington head coach Jim Zorn said. “So the competition is for the No. 3 spot, and Chase is making a statement about that.” Daniel was not even drafted because of his height but he has a real chance to make the Redskins. “Everyone questions my height, but you can’t question my heart, my brains, my arm or my skill. I still have a long way to go, but this is a right step in the direction I want to go.” Daniel said. He seems to have the support of Zorn as well. “I’ve never said anything about his height. I don’t tell him, ‘Stand taller.’ He’s only as high as he is. It’s a God thing. What I do is tell him to play ball and tell him to play at the right level.” Zorn said.

The Patriots have looked pretty good with their first string offense. Brady has looked ready to start the season and it has helped that he now has wide receiver Wes Welker healthy again.

The Patriots and Redskins have faced each other a lot in the NFL betting preseason. The Patriots have a 12-7 edge in the 19 games. The teams played three years ago in the preseason and it was the Patriots winning 41-0.

Pick: Pats

August 27th, 2009

Thursday, 8:00 pm Eastern – Fox

The spotlight on Thursday night will be on the quarterback battle in Tampa Bay between Byron Leftwich and Luke McCown. Head coach Raheem Morris has not said which player will get the starting job but what is clear is that Thursday’s game could be the deciding factor.

Tampa Bay is a 2.5 point favorite with a total of 37 at Bookmaker.

Leftwich gets the start on Thursday and will play 1.5 quarters with the starters. McCown will play the next 1.5 quarters, also with the starters. Neither quarterback has been great during the preseason but both have had their moments. McCown is 10 of 17 passes (58.8%) for 70 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. He has a quarterback rating of 107.5. Leftwich has completed 12 of 26 passes for 124 yards, one touchdown, no interceptions and he has a QB rating of 73.2. Rookie quarterback Josh Freeman is not being considered at the moment for the starting job although the Bucs consider him their quarterback of the future. Tampa Bay will have Earnest Graham back in the starting lineup after he missed last week’s game against Jacksonville.

Miami comes into Thursday’s game looking good. They won 27-17 last week against Carolina and the first string offense looked strong. Chad Pennington was 8 for 11 for 105 yards and a TD. Miami is expected to player their starters into the third quarter in this game. Following Pennington at quarterback will be Chad Henne who has looked solid this NFL betting preseason. He has completed 17 of 27 passes for 169 yards and two touchdowns and one interception. “I think it’s about understanding what you’re going to go through in the preseason and just having the playbook underneath my belt for one year has just been a lot easier for me,” Henne said. “Repetition with the plays and just getting through them are what I am doing better at now. I definitely feel a lot better. I mean understanding defenses, understanding our offense, what matches with each other and just making smart decisions and knowing where to go with the ball allows me to feel so much more comfortable and the year really helped me a lot.”

The Dolphins and Bucs have met 23 times in the NFL betting preseason history with Miami holding a 14-9 lead. Last season it was Tampa Bay winning 17-6 in Miami in the preseason.

Pick: Dolphins

August 24th, 2009

Monday, 8:00 pm Eastern – ESPN

New York quarterback Mark Sanchez gets his first start as the Jets travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens. Sanchez is trying to win the starting quarterback job in his rookie year and is in a battle with Kellen Clemens. Last week Sanchez looked sharp in a 23-20 loss to the Rams.

Baltimore is a 3-point favorite with a total of 33 at Bookmaker.

Some of the attention on Monday will be focused on New York head coach Rex Ryan who is making his return to Baltimore after spending the last 10 years as the Raven’s defensive coordinator. Ryan took a few players away from his former team as linebacker Bart Scott and safety Jim Leonhard are now with the Jets. New York will probably be missing cornerback Darrelle Revis, guard Alan Faneca, tackle Damien Woody and defensive tackle Sione Pohua in this game.

The Ravens didn’t miss Ryan last week as they shutout the Washington Redskins 23-0. The transition from Ryan to Greg Mattison as defensive coordinator has gone great. “This is not Greg’s first time around the block,” head coach Jim Harbaugh said. “He’s been a defensive coordinator for years, and that’s showing up. I think the players feel it. If we don’t stop people like we want, [then] that’s going to be on us — players, coaches, all of us together. But I think we’ve done a good job in camp and we have a chance to be a really good defense.”

Ryan has said that Monday’s game is important. “I want [the Ravens] to know that my guys are playing like Jets and we’re to be taken seriously,” Ryan said. “The fact that I got passed over for the coaching job there … does that mean anything? Maybe it does.”

The Baltimore offense also looked good last week as they had 500 yards against the Redskins. Starting quarterback Joe Flacco was very good last week and should get even more time on Monday. His backup is Troy Smith who was solid last week as well. Smith may get a lot of time on Monday since third string quarterback John Beck is hurt. The team did sign Cleo Lemon and Drew Willy but they may not play. The Ravens will are likely to be without wide receiver Mark Clayton and linebacker Terrell Suggs on Monday.

The Jets and Ravens have met five times in the NFL betting preseason history with the New York holding a 3-2 edge. The teams last met in 2002 and the Jets pulled out a 16-14 win at Baltimore.

Pick: Ravens

August 21st, 2009

NFL Preseason Betting Preview
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys
Friday, 8:00 pm Eastern – Fox

The Dallas Cowboys will play their first game in their $1.15 billion dollar stadium on Friday as they host the Tennessee Titans in a preseason matchup that can be seen on Fox television. It is likely to be a rare occasion where the stadium gets more of the publicity than the game. “I had heard everybody saying it’s big and da-da, da-da,” receiver Roy Williams. “Then (I) finally saw it with my own eyes and it’s the greatest thing on earth.”
The Cowboys are coming off a 31-10 loss last week at the Raiders while the Titans come into the game at 2-0 in the preseason.

Dallas is a 3 point favorite with a total of 38 at Bookmaker.

The Cowboys first string offense looked good last week before leaving and they should get more time this week. Quarterback Tony Romo was 4 for 6 including a TD pass to Jason Witten in the game against the Raiders. The Cowboys will have more of their starters in the game on Friday as cornerbacks Terence Newman and Mike Jenkins are both expected to play after missing last week. The Cowboys have a good first half quarterback rotation with Romo and Jon Kitna but in the second half they have rookies Stephen McGee and Rudy Carpenter

The Titans have played two preseason games since they opened the preseason in the Hall of Fame game against Buffalo. They won that game and they also won last week against Tampa Bay. The Titans have a very solid quarterback rotation of Kerry Collins, Vince Young and Patrick Ramsey and backup quarterbacks matter in the NFL betting preseason. Last week Young played well, going 9 for 14 with 131 yards and a TD. Young could get some playing time with the starters on Friday. Young could be extra motivated since he is from Texas. “Any time I am going back to Texas is big for me,” Young said, “That is home. There is a lot of love down there, a lot of respect.”

These teams have met a great deal in preseason history dating back to Tennessee’s days as the Houston Oilers. The Cowboys have a 20-13 edge with the last win coming before the 2004 season.

Pick: Titans

August 11th, 2009

Saratoga Springs attracted visitors before the American Revolution when wealthy pilgrims journeyed to the carbonated mineral springs running through the area.

The two Battles of Saratoga, considered the first Colonial victory and a turning point in the Revolutionary War, ended with British Gen. John Burgoyne’s surrender on Oct. 16, 1777.

During the Civil War, several men pursued an idea that would put Saratoga Springs on the map again – a racetrack. The principal players: 

William R. Travers, a lawyer that made a fortune on Wall Street, owned thoroughbreds and became ppresident of the Saratoga Racing Association.

John “Old Smoke” Morrissey, former American bare-knuckle champ, gambler and a soon-to-be lawmaker on state and national levels.

John “Dareveil Jack” Hunter, fearless horseman and reckless rider who owned horses that raced on both sides of the Atlantic.

Leonard Walter Jerome, flamboyant entrepreneur, father of Winston Churchill’s mother and another successful stock speculator known as “the King of Wall Street.” .

The inaugural meeting ran only four days in early August of 1863, but was successful beyond expectations. The next year the meeting was moved across the street to accommodate the large crowds and the facilty was enlarged.

The track was called Saratoga Race Course, home of the oldest American stakes race for 3-year-olds named for Travers. A horse co-owned by Travers and Hunter won the inaugural when the purse was $2,940: Kentucky.

The first Kentucky Derby champ to captures the Travers was Baden Baden in 1877. The first Preakness victor to score was Duke of Magenta in 1877. Ruthless, who won the inaugural Belmont Stakes in 1867, was the second filly to take the Travers.

Individual winners of all three Triple Crown events met only once in 139 years. It was 1982 when the field included Derby champ Gato Del Sol, Preakness victor Aloma’s Ruler and Belmont winner Conquistador Cielo.

However, longshot Runaway Groom triumphed. Winner of two Canadian Triple Crown contests, the son of Blushing Groom was awarded top 3-year-old honors in his country.

Some pretty fair thoroughbreds over the decades have been victorious:

Point Given, 2001 Preakness-Belmont winner; Thunder Gulch, 1995 Derby-Belmont victor; Holy Bull, 1994 Horse of the Year; Alydar, 1978 Triple Crown runner-up to Affirmed; Damascus, 1967 Preakness-Belmont winner; Native Dancer, 1953 Preakness-Belmont victor; Whirlaway; 1941 Triple Crown champ; and Man o’ War, 1930, who captured the Preakness and Belmont, but didn’t run in the Derby.

Saratoga became known as the Graveyard of Champions as such great horses in addition to Big Red fell to unheralded opponents. Man o’ War’s only loss in 21 outings came  in 1919 when he lost in a sprint over a muddy surface to Upset.

Two Triple Crown winners were surprised 43 years apart at Saratoga. Secretariat lost to 4-year-old Onion by a length in his first try against older horses in the Whitney, but it was later found suffering from a viros.

The biggest shocker came in the 1930 Travers when Triple Crown champ Gallant Fox, 1-2, was a distant eight lengths behind 100-1 Jim Dandy on a muddy track.

Jim Dandy later was honored with a stakes race   established in 1964, an appropriate prep for the Travers.

August 9th, 2009

Hall of Fame Game
Buffalo Bills vs. Tennessee Titans
Sunday, 8:00 pm Eastern – NBC

The 2009 NFL preseason begins on Sunday night in a nationally televised game on NBC as the Buffalo Bills face the Tennessee Titans in the Hall of Fame Game from Canton, Ohio. It will mark the debut of Terrell Owens for the Buffalo Bills.
The Titans are 2.5 point favorites in Hall of Fame Game odds with a total of 31.

The Hall of Fame game odds have moved toward the Bills in this game, simply because Buffalo has been in training camp longer than Tennessee. The Titans should not be discounted though. They are the superior team and they have the better quarterback rotation. “We’re going to approach it like our first preseason game.” Tennessee Head coach Jeff Fisher said, “We’ll play everybody that’s capable of playing and some of the starters will play a little bit longer because of numbers. We’ll clearly be competitive throughout the game.”

The Titans have Kerry Collins as the starter at quarterback, Vince Young as his backup and Patrick Ramsey. Rookie Alex Mortensen is the rookie who may get mop up duty. The Bills have Trent Edwards starting with Ryan Fitzpatrick as the backup. Matt Baker and Gibran Hamdan are competing for the third spot. Oftentimes preseason games are determined by the play of backup quarterbacks and Tennessee definitely has the edge. In the second half it could be Ramsey who determines the outcome of this game for the Titans.

Here is a look at the NFL betting stats for Sunday’s game. The Bills are 5-3 ATS in their last eight preseason games. The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last five preseason openers. Buffalo is 7-0 ATS in their last seven preseason games as an underdog. The Bills are 0-2 in the Hall of Fame game. They lost in 1989 to Washington and in 1974 to St. Louis.

The Titans are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 preseason games as a favorite. Tennessee has played in the Hall of Fame Game twice and is 0-2 but both of those games were when they were the Houston Oilers. The Titans lead the preseason series against the Bills, winning 9 of the 12 games.

Pick: Titans -2.5 4 out 5 stars

July 30th, 2009

Montreal Alouettes (4-0) at Edmonton Eskimos (2-2)
Thursday, 9:00 pm Eastern – TSN

Opening Line: Montreal – 6.5 , Total 54.5

The Edmonton Eskimos get their second chance at the Montreal Aloulettes on Thursday and they are hoping it goes a lot better than the last time when they were routed 50-16. The Eskimos got a nice 38-33 comeback win last week against Saskatchewan as they had 140 rushing yards. They may need a similar amount of yards on the ground to win against Montreal. “In order for us to be effective, we have to be able to effectively run the football,” Eskimos head coach Richie Hall said. “That opens up everything for us. It allows our offensive line to be aggressive. It takes pressure off our receivers and our quarterback and it makes the opposition have to defend the whole play book”.

The ability to run the ball will be a big key for Edmonton as they look to keep Anthony Calvillo and the Montreal offense off the field. “Keeping our defense rested, putting together long drives, time of possession, all of that is important,” offensive coordinator Rick Worman said. “Montreal is a good football team. The more times they get their hands on the ball, the more opportunities they have to score. The biggest thing is to be unpredictable. Then you have a chance to be an offensive team and not a team that’s one-dimensional.”

Calvillo needs just 34 yards on Thursday to reach 60,000 in his career. “This is a positive thing,” Calvillo said, “To be so close to 60,000 is going to be special. To be able to play for so many years and stay healthy, but you’ve got to be able to be on a good team. You’re not going to be able to do this by just by going out there. You need to be surrounded by great talent, no matter who you are.”

Here are the CFL Betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Alouettes are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Alouettes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Edmonton.

The Eskimos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Current Line: Montreal – 6.5 , Total 54.5

The Over is 8-2 in the Eskimos last 10 games in July. The Over is 4-1 in the Eskimos last 5 games overall. The Over is 9-3 in the Eskimos last 12 home games. The Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Edmonton between the two teams.

Pick: Edmonton