NLDS Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers (Game 3)
Saturday, 6:35 pm Eastern – TBS

SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 117 ,  Total  9 Flat

The Milwaukee Brewers head home facing elimination on Saturday as they host the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their best of five series.  The Brewers have been totally shutdown by the Phillies in the first two games and even their best pitcher, C.C. Sabathia was beaten.  The Brewers will now have to hope their offense gets going because it is unlikely Dave Bush is going to shutout the Phillies. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Brewers at Home

Bush was up and down for the Brewers this season.  He was great in August but poor in September.  One of those outings was against Philadelphia when he gave up three runs on five hits in a 7-3 loss.  The Phillies turn to the veteran Jamie Moyer to close out the Brewers.  He won 16 games this season and was very solid.  He has a 2.43 ERA in five career starts in the playoffs.

Here are the MLB betting stats for Saturday’s game.  The Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. the National League Central. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 overall. The Phillies are 7-0 in Moyer’s last 7 starts. The Phillies are 5-0 in Moyer’s last 5 starts vs. the National League Central. The Phillies are 6-0 in Moyer’s last 6 road starts. The Phillies are 1-5 in Moyer’s last 6 Saturday starts. The Phillies are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The Brewers are 11-4 in their last 15 Saturday games. The Brewers are 44-20 in their last 64 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Brewers are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. the National League East. The Brewers are 6-2 in Bush’s last 8 Saturday starts.

The Brewers are 14-5 in Bush’s last 19 home starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers - 117 ,  Total  9 Flat

The Under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 road games. The Under is 20-7-2 in the Phillies last 29 vs. the National League Central. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Phillies last 8 Saturday games. The Under is 7-3 in the Phillies last 10 overall. The Under is 15-6 in Moyer’s last 21 starts overall.

The Under is 6-1 in the Brewers last 7 overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Brewers last 5 home games. The Under is 39-17-4 in the Brewers last 60 vs. the National League East. The Over is 5-0 in Bush’s last 5 starts overall.

The Over is 16-5-1 in Bush’s last 22 home starts. The Over is 12-5-1 in Bush’s last 18 starts vs. the National League East. The Over is 6-0 in Bush’s last 6 starts vs. the Phillies.

Pick: Phillies 3 out of 5 units

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies
Thursday, 7:05 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 120 ,  Total  8.5 Over - 115

The Milwaukee Brewers got a huge come from behind win on Wednesday as they defeated the Cincinnati Reds 4-3, getting two runs in the eighth inning.  Manager Ned Yost has not been one to panic even though his team just completed a 3-7 homestand. “I’ve got my own style and the way that I like to do things,” said Yost, “I think everybody wants to vent and scream and yell, but I just think that it’s more productive for me and my players if we take a calm approach.”  The Brewers are still ahead of the Phillies, Cardinals and the hard charging Houston Astros in the Wild Card race.  They send their top pitcher, Ben Sheets on Thursday at Philadelphia.

SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Brewers on the Road.

The Phillies will turn to Jamie Moyer on Thursday.  He will be working on three days of rest. “I’ve done it,” said Moyer, “I don’t think it’s that big of an issue. It’s my responsibility. I’m trying to do my job to the best that I can. If it’s on short rest, so be it. Sometimes you can be pretty sharp with an extra day or two extra days or you could be too strong.” Moyer has been the most consistent pitcher for the Phillies, leading the team in wins with 13. “He’s in tremendous shape, and he’s prepared,” Philadelphia manager Jerry Manuel said.

Here are the MLB betting stats for Thursday’s game.  The Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 road games. The Brewers are 3-7 in their last 10 overall. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Brewers are 8-2 in Sheets’ last 10 starts vs. the National League East. The Brewers are 14-5 in Sheets’ last 19 road starts. The Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers - 120 ,  Total  8.5 Over - 115

The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games. The Phillies are 4-0 in Moyer’s last 4 starts vs. the National League Central. The Phillies are 5-1 in Moyer’s last 6 starts.

The Under is 14-5-2 in the Brewers last 21 road games. The Under is 36-15-3 in the Brewers last 54 vs. the National League East. The Under is 5-0 in Sheets’ last 5 starts vs. the National League East. The Under is 6-1 in Sheets’ last 7 starts overall. The Under is 5-2 in Sheets’ last 7 road starts. The Under is 4-0 in Sheets’ last 4 starts vs. the Phillies.

The Under is 9-2 in the Phillies last 11 Thursday games. The Under is 17-5-1 in the Phillies last 23 vs. the National League Central. The Under is 9-3-1 in the Phillies last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-0 in Moyer’s last 4 starts vs. the National League Central. The Under is 5-1 in Moyer’s last 6 starts overall. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia between the two teams.

Pick: Brewers 2units

MLB Betting Preview

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Wednesday, 8:05 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 110 , Total 8.5 Under -115

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers play the third game of their four game series on Wednesday night and they get the national spotlight as the game is on ESPN. It will be Ryan Dempster going for the Cubs while Manny Para gets the call for the Brewers. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Cubs on the Road.

Dempster is 11-4 on the season with a 2.99 ERA. He did not get a decision in his last start against Florida but pitched well, giving up one run in six innings. Dempster got two wins against Milwaukee in April but both games were at Wrigley.

Parra is 9-3 on the season with a 3.72 ERA. He had won eight straight games before a loss in his last start against Houston. He was taken out in the seventh inning even though he didn’t allow a ball out of the infield. “I feel like I’m throwing the ball really well, six innings, seven innings and then a break here or there is the difference between what CC and Ben are doing. They’re coming out of games on a good note versus being taken out of the inning, which I can’t stand,” Parra said.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers - 115 , Total 8.5 Under -115

Here are the MLB betting stats for Wednesday’s games. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Cubs are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog. The Cubs are 4-0 in Dempster’s last 4 Wednesday starts. The Cubs are 7-2 in Dempster’s last 9 starts vs. the National League Central. The Cubs are 15-7 in Dempster’s last 22 starts. The Cubs are 1-6 in Dempster’s last 7 starts as a road underdog. The Cubs are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 Wednesday games. The Brewers are 9-3 in their last 12 overall. The Brewers are 18-7 in their last 25 vs. the National League Central. The Brewers are 25-11 in their last 36 games as a favorite.

The Brewers are 11-5 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. The Brewers are 6-2 in Parra’s last 8 starts as a favorite. The Brewers are 7-3 in Parra’s last 10 starts.

The Over is 4-1 in the Cubs last 5 games as a road underdog. The Over is 4-1 in Dempster’s last 5 road starts. The Over is 6-2 in Dempster’s last 8 starts vs. the National League Central.

The Over is 8-2 in the Brewers last 10 home games. The Under is 4-1 in the Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 7-2 in the Brewers last 9 games as a home favorite. The Over is 8-1-2 in the last 11 meetings in Milwaukee between the two teams.

Pick: Brewers 4units

MLB Betting Preview

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
Tuesday, 8:05 pm Eastern – WGN

SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 117 , Total 7.5 Flat

The best pitching matchup on Tuesday could be in Milwaukee as the Brewers and Cubs continue their battle at the top of the National League Central. The Cubs go with Carlos Zambrano while the Brewers counter with Ben Sheets. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Cubs on the Road.

Zambrano is 11-4 on the season with a 2.96 ERA. He has been excellent of late, including his last start against Florida when he allowed just two runs in seven innings. He has two no-decisions against Milwaukee this season with a 0.69 ERA.

Sheets is 10-3 on the season with a 2.87 ERA. He went 7 innings in his last start against the Cardinals, allowing only two earned runs. He is 1-0 against the Cubs in two starts this season with an ERA of 2.38.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers - 125 , Total 7.5 Flat

Here are the MLB betting stats for Tuesday’s game. The Cubs are 6-13 in their last 19 road games. The Cubs are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Cubs are 1-9 in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Cubs are 9-2 in Zambrano’s last 11 starts as a road underdog. The Cubs are 12-5 in Zambrano’s last 17 starts. The Cubs are 1-4 in Zambrano’s last 5 starts vs. the Brewers.

The Brewers are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. the National League Central. The Brewers are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a home favorite. The Brewers are 35-17 in their last 52 Tuesday games. The Brewers are 37-18 in their last 55 overall. The Brewers are 5-0 in Sheets’ last 5 starts vs. the National League Central. The Brewers are 11-5 in Sheets’ last 16 starts as a home favorite.

The Brewers are 4-0 in Sheets’ last 4 starts vs. the Cubs.

The Over is 10-4 in the Cubs last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 16-5-1 in Zambrano’s last 22 road starts. The Under is 17-8-1 in Zambrano’s last 26 starts overall. The Under is 4-0 in Zambrano’s last 4 starts vs. the Brewers.

The Under is 4-1 in the Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Under is 6-2 in the Brewers last 8 vs. the National League Central. The Over is 6-2 in the Brewers last 8 games as a home favorite. The Over is 4-1 in Sheets’ last 5 starts as a home favorite. The Over is 16-7-1 in Sheets’ last 24 starts vs. the National League Central. The Over is 4-0 in Sheets’ last 4 home starts vs. the Cubs. The Over is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee between the two teams.

Pick: Brewers 3units

MLB Betting Preview

Milwaukee Brewers (55-43) at St. Louis Cardinals (57-43)
Monday, 7:05 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Cardinals - 125 , Total 9 Over -125

A key series in the National League Central begins on Monday when the 2nd place St. Louis Cardinals host the 3rd place Milwaukee Brewers. Both teams are unbeaten since the All-Star break and are within two and three games, respectively of the 1^st place Chicago Cubs. The Cardinals got a dramatic 9-5 win on Sunday over San Diego as Aaron Miles hit a walk off grand slam. The Brewers are playing just as well, having swept San Francisco over the weekend, scoring 24 runs in the process. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Cardinals at Home.

The Brewers have won five of their last six games on the road. “We’re playing a lot better on the road,” manager Ned Yost said. “I think we’re past all that. We’re just playing good baseball.” The Brewers picked up San Francisco second baseman Ray Durham from the Giants on Sunday and he could be in the lineup on Monday. Milwaukee sends Seth McClung to the mound on Monday. He is 5-5 with a 4.16 ERA this season. It is his first career start against St. Louis. Earlier this season he made two relief appearances against them and allowed only two hits in four innings. The Cardinals send Joel Pineiro on Monday. He is 3-4 with a 4.52 this season. He has just one win in his last 11 starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Cardinals - 115 , Total 9 Over -115

Here are the MLB betting stats for Monday’s game. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games. The Brewers are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. the National League Central. The Brewers are 22-48 in their last 70 games as a road underdog. The Brewers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall. The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.

The Over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 road games. The Over is 8-1 in the Brewers last 9 overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Brewers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 6-2 in the Brewers last 8 vs. the National League Central. The Under is 8-2 in McClung’s last 10 starts overall.

The Over is 7-1 in the Cardinals last 8 games as a home favorite. The Over is 5-1 in the Cardinals last 6 overall. The Over is 8-2-1 in the Cardinals last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Pick: Brewers 3units

MLB Betting Preview
Milwaukee Brewers (8-4) at St. Louis Cardinals (9-4)
Tuesday, 8:15 pm Eastern

SBG Global Opening Line: Cardinals  - 120, Total  9.5 Under -120

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals have started the season in fine form with the Brewers starting 8-4 and the Cardinals going 9-4. Milwaukee is getting some unexpected help as Gabe Kapler, who was coaching in the minor leagues last season is leading the way. Kapler is batting .423 with four home runs and 11 RBIs this season. He was 3-for-4 with a double and a home run in Sunday’s 9-7 win over the Mets. “I’m not so sure when he wakes up in the morning if it’s not all been a dream,” manager Ned Yost said. “He’s just done so well. It’s unbelievable what he’s been able to do.” SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Cardinals at Home.

 

The Brewers have needed Kapler’s heroics considering Prince Fielder and Ryan Braun have done nothing so far this season. Fielder hit 50 home runs last season but has none so far this year.  Braun hasn’t been much better hitting .226 although he has 3 home runs.

 

St. Louis is coming off a 7-4 loss on Sunday against San Francisco.  The Cardinals had been getting solid starting pitching until Sunday when Joel Piniero struggled.  The starters have gone 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA in their last seven starts after sparkling in the first six games.  Braden Looper is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA this season and he gets the start on Tuesday. He pitched 5 2-3 innings on Wednesday against Houston, allowing three runs and five hits in a 6-4 win.  He is 3-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 29 appearances against the Brewers. Last year he really struggled against Milwaukee as he went 1-2 with a 7.88 ERA.

SBG Global Current Line: Cardinals  - 120, Total  8.5 Over -120           

 

The Brewers go with Dave Bush on Tuesday.  Bush has been a disaster so far this season going 0-2 with an ERA of 8.44.  It could be the last start for Bush for a while since Yovani Gallardo is expected to come off the disabled list soon.  Bush allowed five runs and six hits in his last outing against the Red.  He is 1-3 with a 7.61 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals.  Last season the Cardinals were 8-7 against the Brewers. They were 4-2 against the Brewers at home.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Tuesday’s game.  The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 overall. The Brewers are 30-62 in their last 92 games as a road underdog. The Brewers are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Brewers are 4-1 in Bush’s last 5 Tuesday starts. The Brewers are 2-5 in Bush’s last 7 starts. The

Brewers are 8-23 in Bush’s last 31 starts vs. the National League Central.

The Brewers are 1-4 in Bush’s last 5 starts as an underdog. The Brewers are 4-17 in Bush’s last 21 starts as a road underdog. The Brewers are 0-5 in Bush’s last 5 road starts. The Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

 

The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. the National League Central. The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 14-4 in their last 18 overall. The Cardinals are 21-7 in their last 28 games as a favorite.

The Cardinals are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a home favorite. The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 Tuesday games. The Cardinals are 7-1 in Looper’s last 8 starts as a favorite. The Cardinals are 6-1 in Looper’s last 7 starts as a home favorite. The Cardinals are 1-4 in Looper’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

 

The Under is 6-0-1 in the Brewers last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 5-1-1 in Bush’s last 7 starts vs. the National League Central. The Over is 4-1-1 in Bush’s last 6 road starts. The Over is 4-1-1 in Bush’s last 6 starts as an underdog. The Over is 7-2-1 in Bush’s last 10 starts overall. The Over is 6-2-1 in Bush’s last 9 starts as a road underdog.

 

The Over is 4-1 in the Cardinals last 5 overall. The Under is 13-4-1 in the Cardinals last 18 Tuesday games. The Over is 9-4 in the Cardinals last 13 vs. the National League Central. The Over is 4-0 in Looper’s last 4 starts overall. The Over is 6-2 in Looper’s last 8 starts as a home favorite. The Over is 8-3 in Looper’s last 11 home starts. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in St. Louis.

 

Pick Over 8.5 runs 3units