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February 9th, 2009

NCAA Betting Preview
No. 10 Marquette Golden Eagles (20-3) at No. 13 Villanova Wildcats (19-4)
Tuesday,
7:00PM Eastern

Bookmaker.com betting line – Villanova -4.5

The No. 10 Marquette Golden Eagles suffered their very first Big East Conference lost on Saturday when they were upset by the South Florida Bulls 57-56. The Golden Eagles are now in a 3 way tie for first place and in need to get back to their winning ways. However, the No. 13 Villanova Wildcats have been playing exceptionally well over the last few weeks winning 5 straight games including big wins over Pittsburgh and Syracuse. The Wildcats sport a healthy 19-4 record this year that is well ahead of other big name schools in the conference like Notre Dame, Syracuse, and Georgetown. Villanova will attempt to keep up their rather surprising play when they host a talented Marquette team on their own floor on Tuesday night.

The Golden Eagles actually lead the extremely strong Big East in scoring offense averaging 80.2 points per game that also ranks 14th nationally. Marquette is a talented team that many people are not giving the credit they deserve. Senior standout guard Jerel McNeal is one of only 3 players in the Big East that is averaging 20 points per game while shooting an amazing 47% from behind the arc. Lazar Hayward is an important figure for the Golden Eagles inside presence nearly in double Hayward is nearly posting double-double averages with 15 points and 9 rebounds per contest and will be an important person in taking down the Wildcats on Tuesday night. The Golden Eagles scoring attack will face a big challenge against one of the conference’s better defensive teams and it will be interesting to see if Marquette can avoid losing two straight.

Villanova really gets after it on both ends of the court and they will attempt to score their 6th straight victory. The Wildcats rank 2nd in defensive shooting efficiency holding opponents to a low 37% on the season. Villanova enters the game off a big blowout win over Syracuse by the score of 105-82. Dante Cunningham had a huge night with 31 points and 10 rebounds against the Orange. Cunningham leads the team in scoring 17.8 points while aiding with 7.4 rebounds. Junior guard Scottie Reynolds has also been stellar this season posting 15 points per game this season. The last two games the Wildcats have participated in have been scoring shootouts that have reached the over 185 total in both games. Their meeting with Marquette has the possibility to reach another high total considering two stout offenses will take the court, but the Wildcats will try to use defense to help get the victory.

What to watch for…
Interesting item to watch will be the bench play. If the scoring gets high and the legs start losing energy, Villanova has a pretty big advantage in depth averaging about 12 points more per game outside of the starters. Marquette keeps is very talented when the starters are in, but they have not had much help from the bench. Usually bench play is not a factor, but if the Golden Eagles and Wildcats get into a fast pace game it could have a bigger affect that many would imagine in producing an outcome.

Pick – Villanova


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January 27th, 2009

NCAA Betting Preview
No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (18-1) at No. 4 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (16-1)
Wednesday 7:00PM Eastern

Bookmaker.com betting line -

The new top ranked team in the nation the Duke Blue Devils take to the road to battle the former top ranked Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The Blue Devils have knocked off 10 straight victories since their only loss this season to Michigan. Duke is fresh off an absurd blowout over Maryland on Saturday when the Blue Devils took down the victory in a big way 85-44, but things promise to be much tougher this Wednesday night. Wake Forest got off to a 16-0 start and the No. 1 with some big wins over Clemson and North Carolina, but stumbled last Wednesday night losing to Virginia Tech 78-71. The Demon Deacons will try to get back on track in what would be a huge statement that they are still among America’s best if they can knock off top ranked Duke.

Wake Forest has been stellar on the floor this season and sports one of the highest scoring offenses in the nation averaging 85 points per game. The Demon Deacons are the only team to be in the top 6 in rebounds, scoring, and field goal percentage. Wake Forest has won 4 of the last 6 games against the Blue Devils at home and they will try to keep the trend in tact. Jeff Teague will lead the Demon Deacons offensive attack. The sophomore guard is averaging a team high 21.5 points which is also 2nd best in the ACC. The Demon Deacons also lead the ACC in both field goal percentage (50.5%) and field goal percentage against (36.9%), but will Wake Forest have enough to overcome the very talented and disciplined Blue Devils.

Duke gained the top ranking in the nation last week thanks to the Demon Deacons upset loss to Virginia Tech and got enough votes for the top spot. The Blue Devils have simply dominated the ACC early in conference play and are the only team left to be undefeated in the conference. The Blue Devils are also among one of the best scoring teams across the country averaging 80 points per game. Duke is led by the play of sophomore Kyle Singler who is posting 16.5 points and 8.1 boards per contest. However, it is the play of junior Gerald Henderson who has really lifted the Blue Devils in recent weeks. Henderson is averaging 14.5 points per game this season but has knocked down 21 points on average over the last 5 outing. Henderson gives the Blue Devils the break out threat that they need and Duke will need big performances from their entire starting lineup to hold off a tough challenge on the road from Wake Forest.

What to watch for…

The Blue Devils defense has been the big asset for them all season. Coach K and company present some of the best defensive schemes across the country. Duke held Maryland and Virginia Tech an embarrassing 44 points. The Blue Devils defense will be the big deciding factor in this game again. If they can keep Jeff Teague from posting big numbers and keep the scoring down, the Blue Devils will stay on top. However, that task is easier said than done.

Pick – Duke

January 21st, 2009

NCAA Basketball Preview
No. 10 Clemson Tigers (16-1) at No. 5 North Carolina Tarheels (16-2)
Wednesday, 9:00PM Eastern

Bookmaker.com betting line – North Carolina -14

The No. 5 North Carolina Tarheels host the No. 10 Clemson Tigers tonight in Chapel Hill in a big ACC conference match-up. Clemson dropped their first loss last weekend 78-68 from the hands of No. 1 Wake Forest. North Carolina has won two games in a row after losing two in one week against Boston College and Wake Forest. The game has big aspirations for both teams in terms of ACC regular season hopes. Clemson lost their first conference game last weekend and North Carolina has already lost two. Neither team can afford anymore losses as they both trial Duke and Wake Forest who are undefeated in conference play. Clemson has the chance to gain a lot of respect among the national audience if they could pull of the win as big underdogs tonight.

The Tarheels own one of the deepest and talented lineups in America lead by superstar Tyler Hansbrough. Hansbrough is sporting a strong 22.9 points and 8 rebounds per game for the season. North Carolina ranks 2nd in the nation in scoring racking up an amazing 93 points per contest. The Tarheels have also dominated the boards with 43 rebounds per game that ranks in the Top 5 in the country as well. North Carolina’s year started out very well as they seemed to be the best team in America for many weeks of the early season. However with stumbles in recent weeks, North Carolina has to get back on the right track to prove their national status. The Tarheels have won 9 straight games over the Tigers and will try to avoid their first loss from Clemson since January of 2004.

The Clemson Tigers started the season with a perfect 16-0 record before their first loss last week. Clemson has averaged 80 points per game while shooting 49% as a team from the floor which both rank in the top 30 across the land. The Tigers main performer comes from that of Trevor Booker. The junior forward has been responsible for 15 points and 9 boards in every outing this season. Booker inside presence will play huge dividends for the Tigers tonight in Chapel Hill. Clemson must find a way to be effective inside the paint and then receive help from the outside shooting of Terrence Oglesby. Oglesby is shooting 41% from behind the arc and his ability to knock down the three could be what gives the Tigers hope tonight.

What to watch for…
North Carolina has not been shooting the ball near as well in the last few weeks and it should be worth considering before heading into Tonight’s match-up. The Tarheels are shooting 49% as a team on the year, but have only knocked down 39% against their last 4 ACC opponents. North Carolina must shoot the ball better against a Clemson team that can get hot from the floor.

Pick – Clemson keeps it close. Clemson +14

December 19th, 2008

College Basketball Preview 
Xavier Musketeers (9-0) at Duke Blue Devils (9-1) 
Saturday, 2:00PM Eastern 
 
Betting Line 
 
A pair of top ten teams meet center court in Durham, NC. The undefeated Xavier Musketeers will be trying to stay perfect in front of the Cameron Crazies at Duke. The Blue Devils were upset by Michigan two weeks ago 81-73 and they look to get back to their winning ways. The Blue Devils beat the Musketeers in their last meeting in the NCAA Tournament back in 2004. Xavier will look to make things result a little differently this time around. The winner of this game will likely make their claim as a legitimate front runner and quite possibly receive a top 5 ranking.  
 
Xavier has played very well in the early part of the season. The Musketeers have controlled the boards averaging 41 rebounds per game this season. Xavier has three players averaging double digit point totals. Junior forward Derrick Brown leads the Musketeers with 14 points per game with nearly 6 rebounds. Xavier will try and work the paint against the Blue Devils considering they will have a size advantage. If Xavier can control the boards as they have in many games this season, Duke could have their hands full. The Musketeers rank as the 40th best defense in the country in terms of field goal percentage against. Xavier has held teams to only shoot 41% from the field this season and they will try to make that trend continue.  
 
The Blue Devils have shot well from the floor this season knocking down 47% of their attempts. Duke has also faired well on the boards this season ranking 25th in the nation averaging 41.4 rebounds per game. Duke has 4 players that average 10 points or more led by the play of sophomore Kyle Singler. Singler is averaging 17 points per game this season along with 8 rebounds and 3 assist. The Blue Devils are averaging a fairly high 15 assist per game. The Blue Devils have averaged a 22 points margin of victory in their 8 wins this season and hope to have another big day against Xavier. Duke is in desperate need of a win after just falling to Michigan a little over a week ago and a victory could make the statement that Duke is a national power.  
 
What to watch for… 
Xavier’s inside presence should present problems for Duke. The Blue Devils are only shooting 30% from 3-pt range this season and they will take a lot of shots outside the arc. The game comes down to the Xavier game inside the paint vs. the outside shooting game of Duke 
 
Betting Trends… 
Duke has gone 5-4 ATS this season while going 4-2 ATS in their past 6 games. The Blue Devils have gone on the over total 5 out of 9 games this season as well. Xavier has gone on the over total in their past 3 games while splitting against the spread at a record of 4-4. 
 
Pick – Xavier controls this one 2 out of 5 units

November 28th, 2008

College Basketball Betting Preview
Oklahoma (5-0) vs. Purdue (5-0)
Friday, 3:30 pm Eastern – ESPN 2

 

SBG Global Opening Line: Purdue  -  1  ,  Total  TBA

 

The Preseason NIT has an outstanding matchup in the Championship game as #11 Oklahoma meets #10 Purdue. Both teams are unbeaten, have excellent coaches, and superstar players.  The Sooners are led by preseason Big 12 player of the year Blake Griffin, who is averaging 27.2 points and 18.8 rebounds per game.  Purdue is led by E’Twaun Moore and Robbie Hummel.  The Sooners rely upon Griffin for the bulk of their scoring while Purdue is more balanced. “We all look for each other. We don’t feel like one person is the man or one person is above one another,” Moore said, “We look for our open teammates and make a pass.”
SBG Global reports that early College basketball line has the public taking Purdue at Home.

 

“They’re really good,” Oklahoma head coach Jeff Capel said about Purdue. “I got a chance to watch them earlier. They’re so well coached, they’re disciplined, they’re physical, they have such good guards.”  Oklahoma is also very good, specifically Griffin who may be the best player in the country. “Oklahoma, they’re definitely a good team,” said Purdue guard Keaton Grant. “There’s not another Blake Griffin in the NCAA. There’s only one of him in the United States, so it’ll definitely be a great challenge playing against them. We look forward to it.”

 

Here are the College Basketball betting stats for Friday’s game. The Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. The Sooners are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Big Ten. The Sooners are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 neutral site games.

 

The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. The Boilermakers are 17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall. The Boilermakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. The Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Purdue  -  1  ,  Total  TBA

 

The Over is 8-2-1 in the Sooners last 11 non-conference games. The Under is 4-1 in the Sooners last 5 vs. the Big Ten. The Under is 6-2-1 in the Sooners last 9 neutral site games. The Under is 8-3-1 in the Sooners last 12 overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Boilermakers last 5 neutral site games. The Over is 9-4 in the Boilermakers last 13 Friday games.

 

Pick: Oklahoma 3 out of 5 units

April 7th, 2008

The NCAA Championship Game
By Raji, Moderator BangTheBook.com

The time is finally upon us. We have watched an entire season of college basketball. We watched great young freshmen make their mark in the game and great in conference play. We watched the great conference tournaments and feverishly filled out our brackets as the tournament seedings were announced. We watched those same brackets get shattered as great underdogs made the early run but when the dust settled, for the first time in history, all number one seeds made it to the final four in San Antonio Texas. The story lines have played out and the players and the coaches have been acknowledged of the best of the best but now it comes down to just two teams playing for the championship in college basketball.

Memphis

The first team to make the big game is Memphis. Memphis has held the number one spot most of the year in the national polls and won the conference tournament grabbing a number one seed for the NCAA tournament. Yet they were one of the first number one seeds that were predicted to make an early exit. No one outside of Tennessee thought this team had a shot to go this far, especially when they ran into Texas heading to the final four and the answered the call with a thumping of Texas. The critics still shunned it off and said there would be no way they would beat UCLA. After all UCLA had the experience and had been to the final four and were led by Kevin Love so there would be no way they could lose to Memphis but indeed they did. Memphis thumped the Bruins by double digits and Derrick Rose showed that he may be the best player on the court. The critics are quieter but still out there and Memphis has one more game to play.

Kansas

Kansas was the opposite of Memphis because they won all year and got respect for it. They came into the tournament as a number one seed and plenty of so called experts called on them to get this far. As they went through the teams to get this far they mopped the floor with lesser talent and it led up to a meeting with the North Carolina tarheels in the final four. The story lines were abundant as Roy Williams would be marching the opposing side line and had some history with Kansas. For sure this would be one of the better games of the year, but it wasn’t. The hype was over played and the teams took the court and North Carolina promptly fell behind big early. They started a valiant comeback but it was Brandon Rush for the Jayhawks that held on to the win and pulled away for a huge win for Kansas. Now they face Memphis and there is no more questions, no more doubting just one more game to play.

The Winner

This line has opened up at Kansas -1.5 and slipped to Memphis as a chalk in some places. The thing to know here is to look around as this line is jumping with the amount of action coming in on it. The winner of this game will have to play all facets of the game and be fundamentally sound. Coaching is a sweet edge but I just can’t get over the fact that Memphis can’t hit free throws. It has not hurt them so far but if this game is close it will. I like Kansas to win this game and win the NCAA Championship!

April 5th, 2008

Final Four Betting Preview
Kansas (35-3) vs. North Carolina (36-2)
Saturday, 6:05 pm Eastern – CBS

SBG Global Opening Line: North Carolina   - 2, Total 158

 

Two teams with a lot of Final Four experience meet on Saturday as Kansas takes on North Carolina.  The Tar Heels are making their 17th Final Four appearance and that is tied for most in history with UCLA.  North Carolina head coach Roy Williams is making his fourth Final Four appearance in the least seven years and is facing his former team.  The Tar Heels have an all-time record of 13-14 in Final Four games.  They are 8-8 in national semifinal games and 4-4 in championships games and 1-2 in third places games that used to be played. Kansas has advanced to the Final Four for the 13th time in school history and third time in the last seven years. The Jayhawks own a 9-12 record in the Final Four going 7-5 in semifinal games, 2-5 in championship games and 0-2 in consolation games. SBG Global reports that the public taking North Carolina at Home.

 

Kansas has won a school-record tying 35 games this season. Kansas leads the nation in scoring margin (+19.4), while ranking in the top five in the country in assists, field goal percentage, field goal percentage defense and win-loss percentage. The Jayhawks feature four players scoring in double figures. Brandon Rush leads the team with a 13.1 scoring average followed by Darrell Arthur and Mario Chalmers, both at 12.7 and Darnell Jackson at 11.2.

 

The North Carolina frontcourt has National Player of the Year winner Tyler Hansbrough leading the way.  He will score a lot of points and dominate inside.  Kansas will rotate players and try and throw bodies at him all night.  The backcourt matchup has Brandon Rush, Mario Chalmers, Sherron Collins, and Russell Robinson for Kansas against Carolina’s talented point guard Ty Lawson.  Wayne Ellington can also shoot the ball for Carolina and he could be a major factor on Saturday.

SBG Global Current Line: North Carolina   - 3, Total 160

 

Here are the stats for Saturday’s game.  The Jayhawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. The Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Jayhawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. The Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. the ACC.

 

The Tar Heels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the Big 12. The Tar Heels are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games. The Tar Heels are 42-17-1 ATS in their last 60 non-conference games.

 

The Under is 4-0 in the Jayhawks last 4 neutral site games. The Under is 6-0 in the Jayhawks last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The Under is 35-16-1 in the Jayhawks last 52 non-conference games.

 

The Over is 4-1 in the Tar Heels last 5 neutral site games. The Over is 4-1 in the Tar Heels last 5 vs. the Big 12. The Over is 8-3 in the Tar Heels last 11 non-conference games. The Over is 20-8-1 in the Tar Heels last 29 games as a favorite.

 

Pick: Take UNC -3 and Over 160 5units each! For more Final Four discussion visit the College Basketball Betting Forum.

April 5th, 2008

Final Four Betting Preview
Memphis (37-1) vs. UCLA (35-3)
Saturday, 8:45 pm Eastern – CBS

SBG Global Opening Line: Memphis  - 1, Total 133.5

 

The high scoring Memphis Tigers will try and play a fast paced game on Saturday while the UCLA Bruins will try and slow things down.  It should be an interesting contrast in the second game of the Final Four.  The Tigers have the top scorer left in the tournament in Chris Douglas-Roberts (90 points) while UCLA has All-American Kevin Love who has scored 87 points.  The Tigers also have Derrick Rose who is right behind those two with 82 points scored in the tournament. SBG Global reports that the public taking Memphis on the Road.

 

This will be the third straight Final Four for UCLA while it is the Tigers first Final Four appearance since 1985.  The Tigers are taking this very seriously though as Joey Dorsey was seen practicing with former Memphis NBA star Penny Hardaway this week.  The Tigers don’t seem worried about UCLA trying to slow the game down. “It doesn’t really matter. They can’t really dictate the tempo unless we allow them to,” Douglas-Roberts said. The Tigers and Bruins met two years ago when UCLA took Memphis out of their game and won 50-45 in the regional final. Chris Douglas-Roberts was just a freshman in that game and didn’t play that well.  It is different now as Douglas-Roberts has more experience. “His ability to shoot balls. His ability to score in traffic. His physical play because he’s gained weight. You’re not going to throw him around and do stuff they did in that game,” Memphis head coach John Calipari said.  The Bruins will try and contain Douglas-Roberts with Russell Westbrook who is an outstanding defender.


SBG Global Current Line: Memphis  - 2, Total 133.5

 

Here are the stats for Saturday’s game. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Pacific-10.

 

The Bruins are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog. The Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.

 

The Over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 neutral site games. The Over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 non-conference games. The Over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The Under is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 vs. the Pacific-10.

 

The Over is 4-1 in the Bruins last 5 games as an underdog. The Over is 7-2 in the Bruins last 9 Saturday games. The Under is 6-2 in the Bruins last 8 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Under is 16-6 in the Bruins last 22 NCAA Tournament games.

 

Pick: Take Memphis -2 5units! For more Final Four discussion visit the College Basketball Betting Forum.