Super Bowl XLV Pick: Handicapping Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Spread

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We know that the Packers are going to be ready to go in this one, as they have really withstood every single test that has come their way this year, and they have won every single game in which they have really needed. They’ve put aside the Philadelphia Eagles, Atlanta Falcons, and Chicago Bears, all of which have come on the road, and they are now the only No. 6 seed in the Super Bowl era to make it to the biggest game of the year from the NFC. Green Bay is led by a stifling defense that has forced six picks and has 10 sacks in the playoffs. We know that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers is well on his way to getting a head coaching gig if he can keep this type of play up. There have been a number of different men that have really come to the table this year to help this team out, namely DB Tramon Williams (3 INTs, 1 TD), DB Sam Shields (2 INTs, 1 sack), LB Clay Matthews (3.5 sacks), and DT BJ Raji (1 INT, 1 TD) in the second season. However, we all know for the Packers to win this game that QB Aaron Rodgers needs to be at his best. Green Bay isn’t going to get lucky and have the Steelers playing with their third string quarterback in the second half of the Super Bowl in all likelihood, so Rodgers isn’t going to be able to get away with throwing two picks without a TD pass to win this game. RB James Starks has come out of nowhere as well to put together 263 yards on 70 carries in his rookie campaign in the playoffs.

The Steelers tried their best to let the AFC Championship Game get away from them, but in the end, it was their defense that really held firm and fended off the pesky New York Jets. Just like Rodgers struggled, it was a bad game for QB Ben Roethlisberger in the AFC title game, as he was picked off twice and also did not throw a score. Still, Big Ben knows what it is like to win the biggest game of the year, as he has a pair of victories in the Super Bowl already in his career. RB Rashard Mendenhall was relatively quiet against the Baltimore Ravens in the first round of the playoffs, but he came up with a game in which he was already in triple digits on the ground in the third quarter against the Jets, something that he did twice on the year. New York hadn’t allowed a 100+ yard rusher in 19 straight games before running into Mendenhall in the regular season. As always though, we have to talk about this fantastic defense. The Steelers have accounted for seven sacks in just two games in the playoffs, and they have forced four turnovers. We all know just how good this rushing game is defensively, as Pittsburgh allowed less than 65 yards per game in the regular season this year to opponents on the ground.

We know that the Packers have really been the trendy picks to get to the Super Bowl this year, but we’re not so sure that it’s going to continue for another title. The Steelers have all sorts of Super Bowl experience on this roster, and they just have a great method for winning the biggest games on the biggest stages. The only two men with Super Bowl experience on this entire Green Bay roster are DB Charles Woodson and DT Ryan Pickett, both of which were on the losing ends of their Super Bowls several years ago. Rodgers and company still have a lot of growing to do, and though they had a great game this year, they’ll come up short.