New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers Free Picks and Preview

The Pats have nothing to worry about this year at this point even if this game is lost. The biggest issue is how well the New York Jets are playing right now at 5-1. A win will tie for the division lead, while a loss could drop them into a tie for second and third with the Miami Dolphins. The first game in the post-Randy Moss era was a good one for QB Tom Brady and his men. The unit put up 494 yards of offense and 23 points in a win over one of the most ferocious teams in the NFL, the Baltimore Ravens. Brady threw for 292 yards and hooked up with newcomer WR Deion Branch for 98 yards and a touch. WR Wes Welker also caught seven balls, bringing him to 33 catches on the season. The play of RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been okay, but not fantastic. He is averaging just 4.1 yards per carry, which might be why reserve RB Danny Woodhead picked up the slack this past week. Woodhead now has 141 yards and a score this year and is averaging 6.4 yards per carry. This is still the top scoring offense in the NFL at 30.8 points per game, while the defense is still relatively atrocious, ranking No. 30 overall with 383.0 yards per game allowed and No. 25 in scoring at 23.2 points per game allowed.

Especially with the Kansas City Chiefs playing a virtual slam dunk game this weekend, this could be the biggest game of the season for the Bolts. Both GM AJ Smith and HC Norv Turner could have their jobs on the line based on the team’s performance on Sunday. There is a bit of a silver lining here for San Diego, though. The Chargers have already played four road games against two home games, and very predictably, they are 2-0 SU and ATS at home and 0-4 SU and ATS on the road. At home, the team is averaging 39.5 points per game. On the road, it hasn’t even scored 28 points in a single game. The defense hasn’t allowed more than 13 points in a home game yet this year. On the road, all four foes have scored at least 20. The opportunity is going to present itself to make a comeback, especially if the defense continues playing like this. This unit has only allowed 255.2 yards per game this year, but it is one that has fallen victim to a plethora of special teams blunders on the season. That’s why San Diego is allowing 21.0 points per game, a very mediocre No. 19 in the NFL in spite of the fact that the overall defensive rating is top in the league.

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This is the toughest game on the board to call, bar none. We tend to think that the Brady Bunch has the better squad, but my, is this a tough place to go play football. Because of the home field record, we’re going to give the nod to the Chargers, but we are awfully reluctant after the Pats burned us last week by beating the Ravens.