College Football Week 10 Top 25 Matchups, ATS and Trends
Check out the most comprehensive NCAA football betting trends, college football odds, and Week 10 News and Notes in NCAA football betting action at Bang the Book.
 #7 Wisconsin Badgers (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) -20 |
 Purdue Boilermakers (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) Total 51 |
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The poor Boilers are probably just going to continue getting run over week after week without any semblance of an offense coming together. The Badgers know that they are in a position to win the Big Ten by winning out, and this isn’t a game that can be overlooked. Wisky is off of a bye, but this is the first game that it is really expected to win since beating both the Ohio State Buckeyes and Iowa Hawkeyes. So far this year, QB Scott Tolzien and company haven’t been good from an ATS standpoint in that position, going just 1-4 ATS as hefty favorites.
 #25 North Carolina State Wolfpack (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS) TOTAL 50 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 Clemson Tigers (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) -2.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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With just four ACC games to play, the Wolfpack are in the driver’s seat to win the ACC Atlantic Division and go to the ACC Championship Game for the first time in school history. However, this is a team that has also only played one road game in conference, and you have to go all the way back to September 25th against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets to find that road date. The Tigers had control of their own destiny for just two days in the ACC before losing to the Boston College Eagles up in Chestnut Hill. A loss on Saturday might not only keep Clemson from the ACC Atlantic race, but it might keep it out of a bowl game as well.
 Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS) TOTAL 57 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 #15 Michigan State Spartans (8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS) -25 |
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Minnesota has absolutely nothing to play for and won’t for the rest of the season. The Spartans, on the other hand, are not only trying to get some payback for recent losses to the Golden Gophers, but they are trying to still lock down that coveted berth in the Rose Bowl. Winning these last three games of the season should get the job done, so long as the only two one loss teams left in the conference aren’t them and the Iowa Hawkeyes.
 #16 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) -16.5 |
 Indiana Hoosiers (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS)
TOTAL 53.5 |
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The Hoosiers are just going to try to find a way to scratch and claw their way to two wins in their L/4 games of the season to try to make it to a bowl game in the highly competitive Big Ten. Iowa knows that the Rose Bowl is back on the radar again after taking care of Sparty last week. The big question is how well the road will treat the Hawkeyes, as they have only played one away duel since losing in the desert on September 18th.
#22 Baylor Bears (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) Total 72 |
 #18 Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) -9 |
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It’s hard to think that this game is for control of the Big XII South, but that’s exactly what the case is at this point in the first weekend of November. Baylor and Okie State both control their own destiny for a trip to the Big XII Championship Game, but in all likelihood, this is just a duel for bowl game bragging rights unless one of these squads can knock off the Oklahoma Sooners.
 Tennessee Chattanooga Mocs Total OFF Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 #2 Auburn Tigers (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) OFF |
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After weeks and weeks of dealing with the toughest teams in the SEC, it’s going to be a nice breather for Auburn to take on an FCS foe. Nothing impressive has to happen for the Tigers in this one. They just need to take care of business by a respectable margin, not get anyone hurt, and move forward from there. QB Cam Newton’s Heisman Trophy campaign could be boosted by a rock solid performance, but he is really the only one with anything to gain in this clash.
 #5 Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) -6.5 |
 #11 LSU Tigers (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Total 44 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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You know that the Tigers are going to scoreboard watching in this one, as a win for LSU puts Auburn in a position where it can afford to lose the Iron Bowl and still win the SEC. Obviously, the winner of this game is still in the National Championship picture, while the loser is eliminated. It’s also going to be very hard to fathom either of these teams making it to the BCS with a loss here, so needless to say, the stakes are going to be very, very high on Saturday afternoon in Baton Rouge. Alabama still knows that it controls its own destiny to reach the SEC Championship Game and in all likelihood, the BCS Championship Game as well.
 #4 TCU Horned Frogs (9-0 SU, 5-4 ATS) -4.5 |
 #6 Utah Utes (8-0 SU, 6-1-1 ATS)
Total 53.5 |
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This is the best game of the day and is probably the most important clash for mid-majors in the history of college football. The winning team is probably moving up as high as No. 2 in the nation in the BCS rankings, while the loser knows that it is going to take a real miracle to sneak into the BCS. We should also call this game the de facto Mountain West Championship Game, as the winner of this game will just about certainly win the conference crown. Neither of these teams are probably ultimately going to be ranked high enough at the end of the season to play for all of the marbles, but when push comes to shove, the prize of just going to the BCS is of utmost importance.
 Hawaii Warriors (7-2 SU, 8-1 ATS) Total 65 |
 #3 Boise State Broncos (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS) -4.5 |
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This is the mid major clash that has sort of gone under the radar this week. The Warriors actually control their own destiny for the WAC championship, but it is going to require winning this game. The Broncos just never seem to lose on the Smurf Turf, and the oddsmakers are assuming that this will be no exception. However, a loss would prove to be costly for Boise State, as its BCS dreams would be shattered with four games to play in the season.
 Washington Huskies (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS) TOTAL 65.5 |
 #1 Oregon Ducks (8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS) -27 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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The Ducks are the biggest favorites on the main NCAA football board this weekend, and for good reason. Washington has been slumping, was just shut out, and is now dealing with life after QB Jake Locker, who is out of the lineup. Oregon is just steamrolling teams right now, and though this won’t be a prerequisite victory to go to the Rose Bowl, if there are any hopes of a National Championship run, the Ducks can’t slip here, especially in Eugene.
 #10 Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-1 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) -18.5 |
 Iowa State Cyclones (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) TOTAL 58 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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After back to back wins in Big XII play, the Cyclones are starting to believe that they have the ability to really win this game. Believe it or not, if they win out, they will win the Big XII North. A win might be Nebraska’s only chance of staying alive in either the BCS Championship race or the Big XII title picture, as the Missouri Tigers aren’t likely to lose soon, and one more slip would take destiny out of the ‘Huskers hands
 North Carolina Tar Heels (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) Total 48.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 #24 Florida State Seminoles (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) -9.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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This battle is probably going to be for third or fourth place in the WAC this year, assuming that Boise State beats Hawaii. The Wolf Pack are a very strong club with a big upside, and the more games they win, the more likely they are to be finding their way to a strong bowl game come December. The Vandals are just trying to qualify for a bowl for a second straight season, but prospects are looking grim.
 #23 Nevada Wolf Pack (7-1 SU, 3-5 ATS) OFF Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 Idaho Vandals (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) TOTAL OFF Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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It’s unfortunate for the Falcons that they have been put in this predicament, as they are probably one of the best 25 teams in the country but will never sniff the Top 25 again this year without an upset on Saturday. For Utah, obviously this game is huge due to the fact that the BCS Championship is still potentially in sight, and wins like this would help boost its case for a spot in a BCS game even if it loses to the TCU Horned Frogs. With that game coming up next week, it’s hard not to see a bit of a drop off, though the nation’s only undefeated ATS team is never one to underestimate.
 #19 Arkansas Razorbacks (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) TOTAL 57 |
 #17 South Carolina Gamecocks (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) -3 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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Truth be told, this game actually means incredibly little in the grand scheme of things. The Gamecocks already know that next week’s game with the Florida Gators is the de facto SEC East Championship Game, win or lose here against the Hogs. Arkansas still has a remote shot at the SEC West championship, but it is going to require a lot of things to happen. A slip up would end any hopes. Either way, you can bet that the bowl affiliates for the SEC are going to be paying close attention when deciding which one of these two teams they want for their festivities this winter.
 #9 Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) -4 |
 Texas A&M Aggies (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) TOTAL 60.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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It’s not totally inconceivable that the Aggies could win the Big XII still, but a loss in this game would end those dreams. The Sooners might already be out of the BCS Championship picture, but there is a no doubt that a defeat would end all of that. A loss here would still leave the door open for a Big XII championship though, as winning out even after losing this game would get the job done in all likelihood.
 #14 Missouri Tigers (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) -6.5 |
 Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-4 SU, 2-5-1 ATS) Total 58.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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The Tigers are trying to pick themselves up off the mat after a bad loss last week against the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and as long as they keep winning, they’ll keep putting the pressure on the Huskers and make a very strong case to be in the BCS. This isn’t a loss that would be easy to recover from by either team. The Red Raiders need two more wins to go bowling, and with a 1-2 record so far this year in Lubbock, another loss would be devastating.
 #13 Arizona Wildcats (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) Total 55.5 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
 #12 Stanford Cardinal (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) -7 Click Here for Injuries and Statistics |
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The dynamics of this game are very, very interesting. The Wildcats know that they have a chance to win the Pac-10 if they win out, and the chance is even there to make it to the BCS Championship Game, though those hopes are slim at best. Stanford is in the better position and has the better overall resume, but it needs the Oregon Ducks to lose twice to win the conference. The loser is out of the BCS race in all likelihood, but the winner, if nothing else, keeps its name in the pot for an at large bid to the BCS and will certainly go to the prime Pac-10 bowl game outside of the BCS if it doesn’t make it that far.
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