Archive for the ‘MLB Picks’ Category

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Preview 10/30/08

NBA Betting Preview
 Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks
Thursday, 8:05 pm Eastern – TNT


SBG Global Opening Line: Mavericks  -  3.5  ,  Total  191.5

 

The Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks resume their rivalry on Thursday in Dallas in a nationally televised game on TNT.  The Rockets lead the all-time series against Dallas 74-62 but Dallas holds a 35-32 edge against the Rockets at home.  The last time the teams met at Dallas the Rockets won 113-98 as Tracy McGrady had 31 points.  Josh Howard led the Mavericks in that game with 21 points.  That win by the Rockets broke a six game losing streak against Dallas.
SBG Global reports that early NBA betting has the public taking Rockets on the Road.

 

The Mavericks have had to wait a long time to play their season opener, as almost all of the other teams in the league opened on Tuesday or Wednesday. The opener will not be easy as Houston is a team that many experts like in the Western Conference this season. “They’re one of a select few that is a real serious championship contender,” Dallas head coach Rick Carlisle said. “Of the teams I’ve seen, there as good as, or better than, any of them. They’re a tough matchup with their three star players. We’re going to have to be real good defensively as a team to beat them. That’s just a fact.”

 

Here are the NBA betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Rockets are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 Thursday games. The Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Southwest. The Rockets are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on no rest. The Rockets are 28-13-1 ATS in their last 42 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.

 

The Mavericks are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 vs. the Southwest. The Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 Thursday games.

SBG Global Current Line: Mavericks  -  5  ,  Total  191

 

The Over is 4-0 in the Rockets last 4 Thursday games. The Over is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 vs. the Southwest. The Under is 8-3 in the Rockets last 11 overall.

 

Pick: Rockets 3 out of 5 untis

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies World Series Game 3

World Series Game 3 Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies (Series tied 1-1)
Saturday, 8:15 pm Eastern – FOX

SBG Global Opening Line: Rays - 115 ,  Total  9.5 Under - 125

 

The World Series moves to Philadelphia for the next three games after the Rays and Phillies split the first two games in Tampa Bay.  The Phillies may feel good getting a split in Tampa but it could be the Rays that have the edge in the next two games with Matt Garza facing Jamie Moyer on Saturday and Andy Sonnanstine against Joe Blanton on Sunday. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Rays on the Road.

 

Garza was brilliant in the ALCS against the Red Sox and earned the MVP award.  He had a 1.38 ERA in two starts. If he pitches anywhere near that good in Philadelphia the Rays should win Game 3.  The Phillies turn to the veteran Jamie Moyer on Saturday and he is coming off a terrible outing in the NLCS where he allowed six runs in just 1 1/3 innings against the Dodgers.  He didn’t pitch much better in the NLDS against the Brewers. 

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Saturday’s games.  The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague road games. The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. the National League East. The Rays are 15-7 in their last 22 Saturday games.

The Rays are 4-11 in their last 15 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 1-4 in Garza’s last 5 road starts. The Rays are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the two teams.

 

The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games. The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games. The Phillies are 22-6 in their last 28 home games. The Phillies are 21-6 in their last 27 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 18-37 in their last 55 interleague games. The Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. the American League East. The Phillies are 4-1 in Moyer’s last 5 home starts. The Phillies are 1-6 in Moyer’s last 7 Saturday starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Rays - 115 ,  Total  9.5 Under - 125

 

The Under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 playoff games. The Under is 5-1 in the Rays last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 8-3 in the Rays last 11 road games. The Over is 4-1 in Garza’s last 5 Saturday starts. The

Under is 4-0-1 in the Phillies last 5 Saturday games. The Under is 9-2 in the Phillies last 11 interleague games. The Under is 9-3 in the Phillies last 12 playoff games. The Under is 9-4 in the Phillies last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 16-7 in Moyer’s last 23 starts overall. The Under is 7-3-2 in the last 12 meetings between the two teams.

 

Pick: 1 unit Drays, 2 units over

Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays World Series Game 2

World Series Game 2 Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays
Thursday, 8:05 pm Eastern – FOX

SBG Global Opening Line: Rays  - 154 ,  Total  8.5 Under - 120

 

Game 2 of the World Series takes place on Thursday night in Tampa Bay as the Rays host the Philadelphia Phillies.  It is a key game as either the series will be tied or it will be 2-0.  The pitching matchup has Brett Myers going for the Phillies against Tampa’s James Shields.

SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Rays at Home.

 

Myers has been much better at home than on the road for the Phillies this season.  He was 3-8 with a 6.21 ERA on the road.  Shields was great at home this year but was not quite as good in the ALCS against Boston.  He gave up four runs on nine hits in Game 6 in the loss to the Red Sox.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. The Phillies are 9-3 in their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 6-17 in their last 23 interleague road games. The Phillies are 10-4 in Myers’ last 14 starts. The Phillies are 5-14 in Myers’ last 19 road starts. The Phillies are 1-5 in Myers’ last 6 interleague starts. The Phillies are 1-6 in Myers’ last 7 starts vs. the American League East.

 

The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the National League East. The Rays are 42-13 in their last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays are 20-7 in Shields’ last 27 home starts.

 

The Under is 5-1 in the Phillies last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 12-3 in the Phillies last 15 Thursday games. The Under is 7-2 in the Phillies last 9 interleague games. The Under is 5-2 in the Phillies last 7 road games. The Under is 4-1-1 in Myers’ last 6 road starts. The Over is 6-2 in Myers’ last 8 starts vs. the American League East. The Under is 9-4-1 in Myers’ last 14 starts overall.

SBG Global Current Line: Rays  - 155 ,  Total  8.5 Under - 120

 

The Over is 5-0 in the Rays last 5 Thursday games. The Under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 home games. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Rays last 9 vs. the National League East. The Over is 21-7 in the Rays last 28 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 20-8-1 in the Rays last 29 interleague home games. The Over is 5-0 in Shields’ last 5 interleague starts.

 

Pick Drays 4 out of 5 units

Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays - World Series Game 1

World Series Game 1 Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies at Tampa Bay Rays
Wednesday, 8:20 pm Eastern – FOX

SBG Global Opening Line: Phillies - PK , Total 7.5 Under -125

If the betting odds are any indication we could be in for a very good World Series. The Game One odds on Wednesday are a pick while the overall World Series odds are not much different. Tampa is a very slight favorite, mainly because they have the home field advantage. The series has a 2-3-2 format with the first two and the last two games at Tampa Bay. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Phillies on the Road.

The Phillies will send their ace, Cole Hamels on Wednesday while the Rays are expected to counter with Scott Kazmir. The one main advantage that the Phillies have in this series is Hamels. He has been brilliant in the playoffs going 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA. He won the NLCS MVP as he held the Dodgers to just three runs in 14 innings of work.

Kazmir pitched very well in his last start in Boston. He gave up just two hits in six shutout innings. The game could be very important for Kazmir’s confidence. “That game could really catapult him into the World Series and a great performance there.” Manager Joe Maddon said.

Here are the MLB betting stats for Wednesday’s game. The Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff games. The Phillies are 13-3 in their last 16 games following an off day. The Phillies are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. The Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 17-36 in their last 53 interleague games. The Phillies are 6-17 in their last 23 interleague road games. The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. the American League East. The Phillies are 5-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay.

The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the National League East. The Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. The Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir’s last 6 interleague starts. The Rays are 21-8 in Kazmir’s last 29 starts. The Rays are 35-17 in Kazmir’s last 52 home starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Phillies - PK , Total 7.5 Under -125

The Over is 6-1 in the Phillies last 7 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Under is 5-2 in the Phillies last 7 road games. The Under is 7-3 in the Phillies last 10 playoff games. The Under is 5-0 in Hamels’ last 5 starts overall. The Under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 playoff home games. The Under is 6-1 in the Rays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Rays last 9 vs. the National League East. The Under is 19-7 in the Rays last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 7-1 in Kazmir’s last 8 starts overall. The Over is 5-1 in Kazmir’s last 6 home starts.

Pick: Rays 4 out of 5 units

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers NLCS Game 5

NLCS Game 5 Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers (Phillies lead 3-1)
Wednesday, 8:05 pm Eastern – FOX

SBG Global Opening Line: Phillies - 120 ,  Total  7.5 Under -120

 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are suddenly facing elimination after blowing a lead in Game 4 of the National League Championship Series and now must win on Wednesday night to force the series back to Philadelphia.  It will not be easy for the Dodgers as they face Phillies ace, Cole Hamels.  Los Angeles will send Chad Billingsley to the mound. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Phillies on the Road.

 

Hamels was the Game 1 winner for the Phillies while Billingsley was the Game 2 loser for the Dodgers.  It was a disappointing outing for Billingsley who was great down the stretch for the Dodgers. “The last time out he may have tried to over-prepare,” Dodgers manager Joe Torre said, “That’s just my opinion. I didn’t think he changed speeds enough. He did early on in the game, and then all of a sudden it became hard, hard, hard — and he paid the price for it.” Now Billingsley must bounce back with a big game on Wednesday night or the Dodgers season is likely to be over. “He’s tough,” said Dodgers catcher Russell Martin. “He’s good in pressure situations, so I’m sure he wants another shot at it. I’m looking forward to it.”

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Wednesday’s game.  The Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. the National League West. The Phillies are 12-3 in their last 15 games following an off day. The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 playoff games. The Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 overall. The Phillies are 7-3 in their last 10 road games. The Phillies are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Phillies - 120 ,  Total  7.5 Under -120

 

The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day. The Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 Wednesday games. The Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 home games. The Dodgers are 23-11 in their last 34 overall. The Dodgers are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. the National League East.

 

The Under is 9-4 in the Phillies last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Over is 5-1 in the Dodgers last 6 vs. the National League East. The Over is 5-1 in the Dodgers last 6 home games. The Over is 6-2 in the Dodgers last 8 playoff games. The Over is 5-2 in the Dodgers last 7 overall.

The Over is 19-7-2 in the last 28 meetings in Los Angeles between the two teams.

Pick Over 3 out of 5 units

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox Game 4 ALCS Pick

ALCS Game 4 Betting Preview
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox (Rays lead 2-1)

Tuesday, 8:05 pm Eastern – TBS

 

SBG Global Opening Line: Red Sox - 145,  Total  9 Flat

 

The Boston Red Sox suddenly face what is almost a must-win game on Tuesday night as they host the Tampa Bay Rays.  Boston is down 2-1 in the series and now must count on veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield to get them even in the series.  Tampa will counter with Andy Sonnanstine. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Red Sox at Home.

 

Wakefield did not pitch in the Division series against Anaheim so this will be his first start in this year’s playoffs.  He is very experienced and a big game pitcher.  He is 5-2 in League Championship Series action with a 4.50 ERA. Wakefield is 19-5 in his career against Tampa Bay but he was 0-2 this season against them with a 5.87 ERA in three starts.  Wakefield was tough at home this season going 7-4 with a 3.10 ERA in 14 starts.

 

Sonnanstine just continues to win for Tampa Bay.  He was the winning pitcher in the clinching game against the White Sox in the Division Series.  He is 1-1 in his career against Boston with a 5.40 ERA.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Tuesday’s game.  The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The Rays are 15-6 in their last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays are 6-1 in Sonnanstine’s last 7 starts vs. the American League East.

 

The Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff home games. The Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 Tuesday games. The Red Sox are 36-16 in Wakefield’s last 52 home starts. The Red Sox are 4-10 in Wakefield’s last 14 starts vs. the American League East. The Red Sox are 4-0 in Wakefield’s last 4 home starts vs. the Rays.


SBG Global Current Line: Red Sox - 145,  Total  9 Flat

 

The Over is 5-1 in the Rays last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in Sonnanstine’s last 5 starts overall. The Under is 5-2 in Sonnanstine’s last 7 starts on grass.

 

The Over is 6-1-1 in the Red Sox last 8 Tuesday games. The Under is 5-1 in the Red Sox last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in Wakefield’s last 5 home starts. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston between the two teams. The Under is 6-2 in Wakefield’s last 8 starts vs. the Rays.

 

Pick: Rays 3units

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays ALCS Game 2 Pick

ALCS Game 2 Betting Preview
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Saturday, 8:05 pm Eastern – TBS

The outcome of the American League Championship Series could be decided by the pitching of Josh Beckett.  If he pitches like he did last year then the Red Sox may end up in the World Series again.  If he pitches like he has down the stretch then anything is possible.  Beckett gave up nine hits and four runs in his start against the Angels in the ALDS.  In the postseason Beckett has been great in the past.  He is 6-2 with a 2.09 ERA in 11 outings in the playoffs.  Beckett pitched well against Tampa this season, going 2-1 with a 2.06 ERA against them.  He is 1-2 at Tropicana Field this season with an ERA of 1.93.

Check out the current line for this game at SBG Global.

 

Tampa Bay’s Scott Kazmir got the win in Game 2 of the ALDS against the White Sox although he threw a lot of pitches in just 5 1/3 innings.  He is only 6-7 in his career against the Red Sox with a 3.62 ERA.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Saturday’s game. The Red Sox are 22-7 in their last 29 playoff games. The Red Sox are 17-8 in their last 25 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 Saturday games. The Red Sox are 2-6 in their Game 2’s of a series. The Red Sox are 21-9 in Beckett’s last 30 road starts. The Red Sox are 2-6 in Beckett’s last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. The Red Sox are 1-6 in Beckett’s last 7 starts on field turf. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Beckett’s last 4 starts. The Red Sox are 0-5 in Beckett’s last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Beckett’s last 4 starts vs. the American League East.

 

The Rays are 41-11 in their last 52 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays are 55-17 in their last 72 home games. The Rays are 38-13 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rays are 14-6 in their last 20 Saturday games. The Rays are 40-18 in their last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays are 13-3 in Kazmir’s last 16 Saturday starts. The Rays are 20-7 in Kazmir’s last 27 home starts. The Rays are 5-2 in Kazmir’s last 7 starts vs. the American League East.

 

The Over is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox last 6 MLB betting Saturday games. The Over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Under is 4-0-1 in Beckett’s last 5 starts overall. The Under is 4-1 in Beckett’s last 5 road starts. The Under is 4-1 in Beckett’s last 5 starts vs. the Rays.

 

The Over is 20-6 in the Rays last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 19-7 in the Rays last 26 home games. The Over is 4-0 in Kazmir’s last 4 starts vs. the American League East. The Over is 6-1 in Kazmir’s last 7 starts overall. The Over is 5-1 in Kazmir’s last 6 home starts. The Over is 5-0 in Kazmir’s last 5 starts vs. the Red Sox.

 

Pick: Under 2 out of 5 units

ALCS Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Game 1

ALCS Game 1 Betting Preview
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Friday, 8:35 pm Eastern – TBS


SBG Global Opening Line: Red Sox  - 115 ,  Total  8 Over - 115

 

Two teams that know each other very well meet in the American League Championship Series.  Boston and Tampa Bay met 18 times this season and the Rays won 10 while the Red Sox won 8.  Game 1 of the ALCS is on Friday and matches Boston’s Daisuke Matsuzaka against Tampa Bay’s James Shields.
SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Rays at Home.

 

Dice K won 18 games this season for Boston and was excellent on the road, going 9-0 with a 2.37 ERA in 13 starts.  He did not pitch that well at Anaheim in his last start though in the ALDS as he gave up eight hits and three runs in just five innings. He has pitched eight times in his career against the Rays and is 2-3 with a 2.75 ERA. He is 1-2 with a 3.41 ERA at Tropicana Field.

 

James Shields gets the Game 1 start again for Tampa Bay.  He started in Game 1 of the ALDS against the White Sox and was fairly solid.  He gave up a three-run home run in the game and left with the bases loaded in the 7th inning but picked up the win.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Friday’s game. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff road games. The Red Sox are 22-7 in their last 29 playoff games. The Red Sox are 8-3 in their last 11 League Championship games.

The Red Sox are 39-17 in their last 56 games following an off day. The Red Sox are 1-9 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.

 

The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the American League East. The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. The Rays are 20-6 in their last 26 Friday games.

The Rays are 55-17 in their last 72 home games. The Rays are 9-4 in their last 13 games following an off day.

SBG Global Current Line: Red Sox  - 110 ,  Total  8 Over - 115

 

The Over is 5-1-2 in the Red Sox last 8 League Championship games. The

Under is 5-1-1 in the Red Sox last 7 games following an off day. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Red Sox last 6 overall. The Under is 7-3 in the Red Sox last 10 Friday games.

 

The Over is 5-1 in the Rays last 6 Friday games. The Over is 15-7 in the Rays last 22 vs. the American League East.

 

Pick Over 8 2 out of 5 units

NLCS - Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies - Game 1

NLCS Game 1 Betting Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies
Thursday, 8:20 pm Eastern – FOX

SBG Global Opening Line: Phillies - 155 ,  Total  7.5 Flat

 

The National League Championship Series gets underway on Thursday as the Philadelphia Phillies host the Los Angeles Dodgers.  The Phillies will send their ace, Cole Hamels to the mound while the Dodgers will counter with Derek Lowe. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Dodgers at Home.

 

Lowe was excellent last week against the Cubs and has had a lot of success in big games as he won clinching games for the Red Sox in the ALCS and the World Series. He is 2-0 in his career at Citizens Bank Park with a 2.25 ERA in three career starts.  Overall, he is 4-1 with two saves and a 3.02 ERA in his career against the Phillies.

 

Hamels comes into Thursday’s start off a brilliant effort against Milwaukee in the Division Series.  He held the Brewers to just two hits and a walk while striking out nine in eight innings.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Thursday’s game. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day. The Dodgers are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 overall. The Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 road games. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. the National League East. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Lowe’s last 5 starts vs. the National League East. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Lowe’s last 5 road starts. The Dodgers are 5-2 in Lowe’s last 7 starts overall. The Dodgers are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Philadelphia.

 

The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League West. The Phillies are 7-1 in their last 8 games following an off day. The Phillies are 20-6 in their last 26 home games. The Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 overall. The

Phillies are 6-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts vs. The National League West. The Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ last 7 home starts.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Phillies - 133 ,  Total  7.5 Flat

 

The Over is 5-1 in the Dodgers last 6 playoff road games. The Over is 8-2-3 in the Dodgers last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Over is 4-1 in Lowe’s last 5 road starts. The Over is 5-1 in Lowe’s last 6 starts vs. the Phillies.

 

The Under is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 playoff games. The Under is 6-1 in the Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 vs. the National League West. The Over is 7-3 in the Phillies last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 5-1-1 in Hamels’ last 7 starts vs. the National League West. The Under is 4-1-1 in Hamels’ last 6 starts overall. The Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia between the two teams.

 

Pick: Dodgers 2 out of 5 units

NLDS - Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers - Game 3

NLDS Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers (Game 3)
Saturday, 6:35 pm Eastern – TBS

SBG Global Opening Line: Brewers - 117 ,  Total  9 Flat

 

The Milwaukee Brewers head home facing elimination on Saturday as they host the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their best of five series.  The Brewers have been totally shutdown by the Phillies in the first two games and even their best pitcher, C.C. Sabathia was beaten.  The Brewers will now have to hope their offense gets going because it is unlikely Dave Bush is going to shutout the Phillies. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Brewers at Home

 

Bush was up and down for the Brewers this season.  He was great in August but poor in September.  One of those outings was against Philadelphia when he gave up three runs on five hits in a 7-3 loss.  The Phillies turn to the veteran Jamie Moyer to close out the Brewers.  He won 16 games this season and was very solid.  He has a 2.43 ERA in five career starts in the playoffs.

 

Here are the MLB betting stats for Saturday’s game.  The Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. the National League Central. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Phillies are 19-7 in their last 26 overall. The Phillies are 7-0 in Moyer’s last 7 starts. The Phillies are 5-0 in Moyer’s last 5 starts vs. the National League Central. The Phillies are 6-0 in Moyer’s last 6 road starts. The Phillies are 1-5 in Moyer’s last 6 Saturday starts. The Phillies are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Milwaukee.

 

The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The Brewers are 11-4 in their last 15 Saturday games. The Brewers are 44-20 in their last 64 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Brewers are 0-9 in their last 9 vs. the National League East. The Brewers are 6-2 in Bush’s last 8 Saturday starts.

The Brewers are 14-5 in Bush’s last 19 home starts.

SBG Global Current Line: Brewers - 117 ,  Total  9 Flat

 

The Under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1 in the Phillies last 5 road games. The Under is 20-7-2 in the Phillies last 29 vs. the National League Central. The Under is 5-2-1 in the Phillies last 8 Saturday games. The Under is 7-3 in the Phillies last 10 overall. The Under is 15-6 in Moyer’s last 21 starts overall.

 

The Under is 6-1 in the Brewers last 7 overall. The Under is 4-1 in the Brewers last 5 home games. The Under is 39-17-4 in the Brewers last 60 vs. the National League East. The Over is 5-0 in Bush’s last 5 starts overall.

The Over is 16-5-1 in Bush’s last 22 home starts. The Over is 12-5-1 in Bush’s last 18 starts vs. the National League East. The Over is 6-0 in Bush’s last 6 starts vs. the Phillies.

Pick: Phillies 3 out of 5 units