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November 23rd, 2008

NFL Betting Preview
Indianapolis Colts (6-4) at San Diego Chargers (4-6)
Sunday, 8:15 pm Eastern – NBC

 

SBG Global Opening Line: Chargers  -  3   ,  Total  51

 

The Indianapolis Colts will try for their fourth straight win on Sunday as they meet the Chargers in San Diego.  The game might be considered a revenge game of sorts for the Colts since it was San Diego that knocked them out of the playoffs.  The problem with that theory is that the Chargers are in desperation mode as a loss on Sunday would really hurt their playoff chances.

SBG Global reports that early NFL betting has the public taking Colts on the Road.

 

The Chargers have had a variety of problems this season not the least of which is running back LaDainian Tomlinson.  He is in the midst of the worst year in his career and San Diego is suffering.  The Chargers have had to throw the ball on a regular basis. Quarterback Phillip Rivers is the AFC’s highest rated passer and he has already thrown 21 TD passes this season but being one dimensional in the NFL rarely works in the long term.  If Tomlinson can’t run the ball effectively this week then it may not happen again this season.  The Colts are allowing 138.5 yards per game on the ground this year.  Indianapolis was missing safety Bob Sanders last week and Houston’s Steve Slaton ran for 156 yards against the defense.  The Colts were able to win because Peyton Manning threw for 320 yards and two touchdowns.  Sanders is listed as questionable for Sunday’s game.  Sunday’s game could be another high scoring one for the Colts considering they are facing a San Diego defense that is last in the league, allowing 267 yards per game.

 

Here are the NFL betting stats for Sunday’s game. The Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the two teams. The Colts are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings but the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings

 

The Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Chargers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Chargers are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Chargers  -  2.5   ,  Total  49.5

 

The Over is 4-0 in the Colts last 4 road games. The Over is 6-2 in the Colts last 8 vs. the AFC. The Under is 5-0 in the Chargers last 5 vs. the AFC. The Under is 5-1 in the Chargers last 6 games overall. The Over is 13-6-1 in the Chargers last 20 games in November.

 

Pick: Colts 2 out of 5 units

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