Tracking Line Movements
Sports bettors throughout the industry understand the importance of line movement when betting in professional and colligate sports. The line movement is one of the hardest things to decipher in the business and exactly how to monitor it, break it down and understand is not an easy task o take on. In fact for a rookie sports bettor it could be quite daunting. Many new sports bettors are just trying to understand things like juice and how to read the lines, never mind what it means to look into them. This article will cover what line movements are, how to monitor them and the best way to use them to your advantage. This should allow the sports bettor to understand the basics of line movement and use it to make a profit.
Why is the Line moving? — the line moves for several reasons but two of the most common ones are incoming moves and side notes. The lines maker wants to get equal action on both sides of any given game in hopes of maximizing profit. Because of this the lines maker must move the line if heavy action comes in one side to attract money on the other side and try to achieve action on the other side. The other main reason for line movement is what I like to call side notes. Injuries, travel issues, suspensions, and any other thing that you can think of happening with a team that does happen and makes news can move the line. This is why it is important to know why the line is moving and make a decision if it is based on side notes or action by bettors.
Monitor the movement — the line movement is only helpful if you can figure out which way it is moving. For games that happen once a week it is much easier as you can track it day by day. For games that happen on a daily basis it could be a bit harder. The key is to find the current or opening line and remember it and track it. The sports bettor can use line services or even the sports book that you use to track the number.
The best way to use line movements to your advantage — this has been a long issue of debate over the years and the best thing to do would be to cover all of the angles.
The first angle is the line movement may alert you to changes in the game. With plenty of games on any given day it is hard to keep up with any news that is going on. The line making a drastic move in a game would allow the sports bettor to dig deeper and find out if it is a side note that is causing the move.
Another angle is heavy action coming in one team that will cause the line to move. To make sure this is the case check out consensus numbers that have sprung up all over and see what side that the “public” is favoring and if it shows a lopsided percentage to one side then money coming in on that team would make sense. When the line moves on money coming in you will rarely see a huge move on a line for the most part it will be a half a point at a time and not a 3 point swing or greater. When a line movement of that season occurs then you can be assured it is something more powerful than money coming in such as suspensions.
The third angle is smart money, and that is money coming in on a game from syndicates, or professionals. The problem with this angle is that it is extremely hard to realize the movement came about by this type of action.
There is no doubt that the advantages of tracking and learning the line movement is very difficult but can assist in making money for the sports bettor. Start off slowly by tracking just a few games and working up to getting a personal system for watching the moves. In the long run it will be a profitable tool.