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9/20: Angels - 145 - Rob Vinciletti - On Monday night the MLB play of the day is on the LA. Angels. Game 968 at 10:05 eastern. The Angles fit a solid MLB power system tonight that plays on certain home favorites off a road dog win at +140 or higher, if they won by 2 or more runs and scored 5 or more runs, vs an opponent that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits. These home teams are 11-1 the past few years and win by an average 5-2 score. The Angels came away with a big dog win in Tampa on Sunday and have played well of late despite having no hope of a playoff appearance. Texas lost on Sunday in a close game in Seattle and may be ready to level off after a real nice win streak earlier in the month. The Angels have taken 4 of the 6 games played here this season and have their ace on the mound. J. Weaver makes the start tonight and he has been superb at home this season. He has a 1.56 era in all home starts this season and has been solid in his last 3 outings with a 1.64 era. He has Dominated the Texas lineup allowing no earned runs in 14 innings pitched here at home. Both of which were wins. Texas counters with D. Holland tonight. Holland has a dismal 6.48 era in his limited road starts this year and not surprisingly Texas has lost 3 of the 4 he has pitched away from home. LA has a solid chance of winning this one tonight. On Monday I have a 95% cutting edge system play on the Monday night football game. Sundays top play cashed a second straight week with Cincinnati. I will also have another free play on Monday nights radio show. The Bandbox with Anthony Pierno. Listen online at 88.9. Wsia.fm at 7:45 Eastern. For the MLB Top play take the LA. Angels tonight.

9/14: Rangers -155 Doug Upstone - The Detroit Tigers lost home series to Baltimore over the weekend and hit the road this week for five games starting in the Lone Star State. The Tigers are loathsome 25-44 in the visiting gray uniforms and will give the ball to Jeremy Bonderman (8-9, 5.03 ERA, 1.342 WHIP) to commence the series against Texas, who has regained their bearings and won five in a row, taking their record to 46-26 at home.

9/12: Play On: Oakland -115 (Beckett/Braden) Listed Oakland is 32-15 in day games this year. Boston has lost 6 of their last 8 games overall. Oakland has won 6 of their last 8 games overall. Boston is 14-20 this year in day games. Oakland bullpen has a 3.78 ERA overall this year and a 2.93 ERA at home this season. Josh Beckett has a 5.91 ERA overall this year and a 6.18 ERA on the road this season. Dallas Braden has a 3.47 ERA overall this year, 3.69 ERA at home and a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Oakland is 4-1 at home vs Boston this year. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

9/10: Jimmy Boyd - Toronto Blue Jays -130
The Rays are just 2-5 in their last 7 meetings in Toronto and only 1-4 in Shields' last 5 starts north of the border so it comes as no surprise that they find themselves in the underdog role tonight. And it is certainly worth noting that Tampa Bay hasn't been a very good dog lately. In fact, the Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are an impressive 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite, and you have to like their chances with Cecil on the bump this evening. The Toronto southpaw is an impressive 8-2 (9-2 on the ML) with an ERA of 2.36 against the AL East this season. The Rays will try to counter with Shields, but they are only 8-24 in his last 32 starts as a road underdog, and he is carrying an ERA of 5.42 in division play this year. Take Toronto.

9/6: Rocky Atkinson - Play On: San Francisco -120 (Lincecum/Enright) Listed San Francisco is 77-61 overall this year and sits one game behind NL West Division leader San Diego, while Arizona comes in with a 56-82 overall record on the season. San Francisco is 6-1 this year as a road favorite of -120 to -150. San Francisco has now won 5 of their last 6 games overall. Arizona has lost 3 games in a row heading into tonight's contest. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.35 ERA overall this year. Arizona bullpen has a 5.87 ERA overall this year and a 5.47 ERA at home this season. Tim Lincecum has struggled lately but still owns a 3.68 ERA overall this year and a 3.49 ERA on the road this season. I'm looking for Lincecum to break this slump here tonight. His last outing he did pitch 8 innings and got the win over Jiminez and Colorado allowing only one run. Lincecum is 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA overall vs Arizona since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

8/30: Play On: San Diego -135 (LeBlanc/Saunders) Listed Rocky Atkinson

San Diego is 76-53 overall this year and leads the NL West division. Arizona is 25 games behind them with a record of 52-79 this season. San Diego is 8-1 this year as a road favorite of -125 to -150. San Diego is 25-13 against left handed starters this year. San Diego bullpen has a 2.80 ERA overall this year and a 3.18 ERA on the road this season. Arizona bullpen has a 5.93 ERA overall and a 5.56 ERA at home this season. Wade LeBlanc has a 3.86 ERA overall this year. Joe Saunders is 7-14 overall this year, 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA at home and 0-3 with a 7.87 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on San Diego tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

8/28: Rob Vinciletti - Giants -138 - On Saturday the free play is on the San Francisco Giants. Game 916 at 9:05 eastern. The Giants fit a solid system tonight that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss at -140 or higher if they had 5 or more hits and their opponent is off a +140 or higher road dog win and the total tonight is 8 or less. The Giants are off 2 rare home losses in a row, while Arizona is on a rare road win streak. Things should get back to normal here tonight as the Giants have B. Zito on the mound. Zito is 9-4 at home with a 2.76 era, he opposes D. Hudson who has been decent thus far, as he makes his first start here. SF. is 7-3 here and has a huge home to road bullpen era edge. Look for the Giants to improve to 14-4 vs losing teams in the second half. Take the Giants tonight. On Saturday I have the highest rated NFLX game going tonight that is backed with 3 power systems. I also have a 17-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 4 runs per game and an NFL Dog with bite system play. Friday card was solid cashing 3 of 4. Look for another big night on Saturday. RV

8/27: Colorado Rockies -148 by Dave Price - The Key: With the way the Dodgers have struggled on the road, dropping 14 of their last 20 away from home, the Rockies get the nod with Jimenez on the hill tonight. Jimenez is a perfect 8-0 (10-1 against the money line) in 11 home starts this season. Plus, the Dodgers are 0-4 in Kershaw's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Rockies tonight.

8/25: Detriot Tigers - Wunderdog - The Kansas City Royals have not been a good road team for years and this season sees them floundering on the road once again at 24-40. They have been outscored in the first two games of this series by a combined score of 21-4. The losses drop their recent road swoon to 3-15. The Tigers have caught fire. They have won five straight games by a combined total of 40-7! The Royals are now 2-12 on the road facing an anticipated high scoring game with a total set from 9-10.5. They are also just 1-8 on the road vs a team with a home wining percentage over .600. The Tigers are on mop-up duty vs poor road teams as they are an amazing 50-20 in their last 70 vs a road team with a winning percentage of under .400. I'll go with Detroit here.

8/21: Boston Red Sox -130 - Dave Price - The Key: System Play - plays on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (BOSTON), average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good AL starter (ERA <=4.20), with a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits per start, are 47-11 the last 5 seasons, including 10-3 this season. In addition, the Red Sox have won 9 straight games against Toronto when Matsuzaka get the start. Take the Sox as they bounce back strong from yesterday's embarrassing defeat.

8/18: Reds - Tony George - UNREAL NUMBER for the obvious pick. Trap Line?? Doubt it. The D Backs have no hitting strategy in my book on offense, they just all line up and try to knock it out of the park, which is insane. The Reds are an ATM machine against the D Backs winning 14 out of the last 17, and they face a pitcher tonight with an ERA of 6.88 his last 3. Volquez for the Reds has an ERA under 2 in his last 3 starts and has been fantastic as of late, and Cincy on a nice 7-3 run here their last 10 games, and have the far better team, even on the road. I thought this number would be -150 or higher, a lean to the road team here with some serious line value.

8/17: CINCINNATI REDS - Jim Feist -
Reason: The first place Reds come to town, a motivated, hungry team. They go with veteran Bronson Arroyo, who is a 12-game winner with a 3.94 ERA despite throwing half his games in a hitter's park. He doesn't walk anyone and has allowed just 136 hits in 160 innings. Arizona goes with a young starter, Daniel Hudson, who is a little too liberal with free passes, allowing 15 walks in 38 innings. Have to back the talented and hot visitors. Play the Reds.

8/16: Tampa Bay Rays -105 Jimmy Boyd - I'm backing Price in tonight's pitcher's duel. The Tampa Bay lefty is 7-1 with an ERA of only 2.04 at home this season. Price hasn't pitched since August 9th, so his arm should be feeling good tonight. In fact, the Rays are 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 6 days of rest. Price is also a good one to give the ball to in the first game of a series, as evidence by his 8-1 money line run in this situation. There's no doubting how good Lee has been this season, but he has given up 4 runs in 2 of his last 3 starts, and the Rangers lost both of those games as a result. In addition, Tampa Bay is scoring 5.4 runs per game against southpaw starters on the season with a .344 on base percentage. The Rangers are only averaging 4.6 runs per game against southpaw slingers with a .327 OBP. The Rangers are 2-7 in their last 9 meetings in Tampa Bay, and I look for the struggles to continue there tonight.

8/15: Colorado Rockies -1.5 -115 - Jimmy Boyd
This is a pretty decent price to back the Rockies on the run line with the ace Jimenez on the bump. Jimenez has been dealing all season, and his record stands at a perfect 8-0 at home in 10 starts. The Rockies have won 9 of those 10 outings, and all 9 of those wins have come by at least 2 runs. In addition, Jimenez has had great success against the Brew Crew, posting a 2-0 career mark (3-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.37. Parra gets the ball for Milwaukee looking to snap a 3-game losing streak (on the money line). But I don't see it happening here considering he is 0-2 lifetime against Colorado with an ERA of 7.27. The Rockies have the big edge on the mound, and I'll take them on the run line this afternoon.

8/14 - ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS - Jim Feist - Reason: A big difference offensively with these teams, Arizona ranking 5th in the NL in runs scored, the Nationals 14th. Washington is also the worst defensive team in the NL. Arizona starter Ian Kennedy has fine numbers, allowing fewer hits than innings pitched, a 117-54 K to walk ratio in 139 innings. Washington starter Jason Marquis has been awful, with an 0-4 record and an ERA over 15. He made his first start in months 5 days ago.....and gave up 5 runs in 4 innings. Play the Diamondbacks.

8/6 - Minnesota Twins -1.5 -105 - Jimmy Boyd- The Twins are showing solid value on the run line at this price when you consider how dominant Liriano has been. The Minnesota southpaw has won 4 straight starts by at least 3 runs, and he hasn't allowed a run in his last 3 starts. In addition, Liriano has been an Indian killer. He has won all 3 of his starts against Cleveland this season by at least 5 runs, while not allowing a run in 2 of those starts. The Tribes' Gomez has looked good in his first 2 starts, but I expect him to be officially welcomed to the big leagues by a good hitting team tonight (.282 on the season). The Twins are 10-2 in their last 12, and I like them to keep rolling against a Cleveland club that has dropped 5 of its last 6 at home. Take the Twins on the run line.

8/5 - Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox +130 (Garcia/Scherzer) Listed - Rocky Atkinson - are 22-12 this year in day games. Detroit is 83-101 last 3 years against division opponents. Chicago White Sox have won 8 of their last 10 games overall. Detroit has lost 8 of their last 10 games overall. Chicago White Sox bullpen has a 3.52 ERA overall this year and a 3.16 ERA on the road this season. Freddy Garcia is 10-4 overall this year and 5-2 on the road this season. Garcia is 18-6 with a 3.74 ERA overall vs Detroit since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago White Sox today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

7/21 - St. Louis Cardinals -143 - Jimmy Boyd - The Cards have won 7 in a row, and I like them to make it 8 straight tonight with a win over Blanton and the Phillies. The Phillies have lost 5 of 6 and Blanton doesn't offer them much confidence tonight when you consider that he is just 1-3 with an ERA of 7.06 on the road this season. In fact, the Phillies are 1-5 in Blanton's last 6 road starts. Garcia has been outstanding for the Red Birds this season, especially at home where he is 3-1 with an ERA of only 1.49. The Phillies are just 1-9 in their last 10 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. I'll fade them in this price range tonight.

7/16- Rocky Atkinson - Play On: San Francisco -150 (Takahashi/Cain) Listed - Two fairly evenly matched teams here this year with the NY Mets coming in with a record of 48-42 on the season and San Francisco comes in at 49-41 this year. NY Mets are 1-5 this year on the road when the total is 7 or less. San Francisco is 36-14 last 3 years as a home favorite of -125 to -150. NY Mets have lost 5 of their last 6 games overall. San Francisco has won 8 of their last 9 games overall. NY Mets bullpen has a 5.29 ERA on the road this year. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.16 ERA overall this year and a 1.95 ERA at home on the season. Hisanori Takahashi has a 9.20 ERA his last 3 starts. Matt Cain has a 3.34 ERA overall this year and a 2.63 ERA at home on the season. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

7/6 - KANSAS CITY ROYALS -Jim Feist - Reason: Erik Bedard makes his first start for the last place Mariners. You never know how a pitcher will perform after such a long layoff and Bedard said he expects to be held to about 90 pitches in his first start for the Mariners. He topped out at 92 in his last rehab start, walking three in just 4.1 innings. The Mariners offense is terrible, last in the AL in runs, and they face an ace in Zack Greinke and the Royals are 3-1 his last 4 starts. An excellent spot for the visitors. Play the Royals.

6/10 3* Los Angeles Angels - Matt Fargo - The Angeles easily defeated Oakland last night behind a complete game from Joe Saunders. We will go back to the well and grab Los Angeles against today and even though it is a slight favorite, there is a lot of value on the road team. The Angels continue to keep pace in the American League West. They are 12-3 over their last 15 games including an 8-2 record during this current roadtrip. Back on May 24th, Los Angeles was 6.5 games behind Texas in the American League West and on May 12th it was 8.5 games back but heading into today, it is just a half-game back with a chance to land into first place once again. Oakland is just 3-6 over its last nine games as the offense has been extremely inconsistent following another poor performance last night. The A’s have been a much better team at home than on the road but that should not affect the Angels at all as they have won seven of the last eight meetings in Oakland. Ervin Santana has turned his season around after a rough first two starts. After posting a 6.94 ERA through those first two games, he has tossed eight quality starts over his last 10 outings while posting a solid 2.69 ERA over this stretch. His ERA is about a run and a half better on the road than at home this season and facing the A’s is always a treat. In 16 career starts against Oakland he is 11-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. This includes a perfect 5-0 record with a 1.38 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven starts in Oakland. He goes up against Trevor Cahill who is pitching very well also and that is keeping this line down. He has tossed five straight quality starts including one against the Angels but that resulted in a 4-0 loss. He has a 2.04 ERA in three home starts but he does have a lofty 1.36 WHIP in those games and that can be a problem against the resurgent Angels offense that has scored seven runs or more in seven of their last 11 games, averaging 6.4 rpg over that span. The Angels are 13-4 in their last 17 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while the A’s are 1-4 in their last five games when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.

6/7 - ATL +121: Craig Trapp - What great value on the hottest team in MLB. The last month ATL is 20-6 and have won 8 of last 10. On the other side ARI is really struggling losing 8 of last 10. For ATL Lowe takes the mound and tries to continue his amazing pitching. Lowe is 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his past five outings, and in his last three has only given up one run in last two outings. On the other side we have Haren for Arizona. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in his last five starts and was tagged for seven runs over 4 1/3 innings by Atlanta on May 16. In his career he is 1-2 against ATL with a 7.13 ERA. The bats of ARI have been so quiet the last 6 games only scoring more than 4 runs once. Atlanta's bats have been super hot over this huge winning streak and today they will continue to hit as they score at least 5 runs. ATL wins this one going away.

6/2- Rockies/Giants UNDER 7 - Dave Price - The Keys: First off, the Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Secondly, the Under is 6-2 in Cain's last 8 starts vs. the Rockies and 5-1-2 in Francis' last 8 starts vs. the Giants. Thirdly, the Under is 6-1 in Cain's last 7 home starts vs. Rockies and 2-0-2 in Francis' last 4 road starts vs. the Giants. Lastly, the Under is 7-0-1 in Francis' last 8 starts overall and 3-0-1 in Cain's last 4 starts overall. Both of these pitchers have been Unders machines, and this matchup has been an Unders machine. I'll take the Under here tonight.

6/1 - San Francisco Giants -132 - Jimmy Boyd - I'll take the Giants with my free selection tonight considering the dominance Zito has had against the Rockies. Zito is 5-2 (9-3 on the money line) lifetime when starting against Colorado with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 1.055. Zito's 2.00 career ERA against the Rockies is his best against any opponent, and he has a 1.24 ERA against them in five outings since the start of last year. The Giants are 4-0 in Zito's last 4 home starts vs. the Rockies. Meanwhile, Hammel has struggled against the Giants, and the Rockies are 0-4 in his 4 career starts against them as a result. Plus, he's 0-2 (0-3 on the money line) on the road with an ERA of 8.80 this season. The Rockies took Game 1 behind a gem by Jimenez, but the Giants have still won 8 of their last 10 home games and they are still 43-20 in their last 63 games as a home favorite. We'll take the Giants here tonight.

5/27 - Atlanta +100 (Hudson/Nolasco) Listed - Rocky Atkinson - Atlanta bullpen has a 3.62 ERA on the road this year. Tim Hudson is 5-1 with a 2.09 ERA overall this year, 3-0 with a 2.27 ERA on the road this season and 3-0 with a 0.82 ERA his last 3 starts. Ricky Nolasco is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA at home this year. Hudson is 8-2 with a 2.92 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. My Rocketman line for this game is Atlanta -156 giving us good value on the Braves at even money. We'll recommend a small play on Atlanta tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

5/26 - 3* Los Angeles Dodger - Matt Fargo - We get a solid number with the Dodgers on Wednesday. They dropped the opener of this series last night as Ryan Dempster completely shut down the offense by tossing eight innings of shutout ball and ruining another solid performance from Clayton Kershaw. The loss was the second straight for Los Angeles but it is certainly no time for panic as prior to this, it had won 14 of its previous 16 games so after a slow start, the Dodgers are right back in the thick of things. They trail the surprising Padres by just two games and could definitely get the winning streak going again. The Cubs are playing much better as well, going 7-2 over their last nine games. The pitching has been the backbone as the offense continues to struggle. Chicago has scored more than five runs only once during this recent stretch and going back further it has averaged a mere 3.85 rpg over its last 20 games. Catching elite pitchers in the underdog role is always a great situation and it is even better when that pitcher struggled and has once again found his groove. That often leads to value and that is the case tonight with Chad Billingsley. He started the season with three straight non-quality starts thus producing a 7.07 ERA to begin the season. He has now allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last six starts, posting a 2.39 ERA over those six trips. That has lowered his ERA to 3.66 on the season and now faces a Cubs team where he has a 3.54 ERA in five career starts including a 2.77 ERA in three starts at Wrigley Field. He is opposed by Tom Gorzelanny who is pitching extremely well also. He has a 3.09 ERA on the season but the Cubs are just 2-6 in his eight starts as he has gotten little run support from the anemic offense. Chicago is just 1-3 in his four home starts as he has posted a 4.50 ERA in those games. The Cubs are just 5-14 in their last 19 games against solid starters whose WHIP is between 1.25 and 1.35. s

5/23 - 1 Unit on Oakland A's -105 - Jimmy Boyd
We'll back the A's at a nice price at home this afternoon. Oakland has taken each of the first two games of this series, and I like its chances of pulling off the sweep when you consider the success Sheets has had against the Giants. Sheets has a 2.36 ERA and a WHIP of 0.918 lifetime against the San Francisco. He is 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) in his last 5 starts against the Giants, outdueling Sanchez, Zito, Lincecum and Cain in his last 4. Sanchez is having a solid season, but the Giants have dropped 3 of his last 4 starts. Plus, the Giants are only 7-19 in his last 26 road starts. The Giants have had trouble stealing wins on the road against quality opponents as they are just 18-38 in their last 56 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are also just 11-23 in their last 34 interleague road games. The Athletics are an impressive 68-33 in their last 101 interleague home games, and we'll back them at home here. Take the A's.

5/22 - 3* Florida Marlins - Matt Fargo- Chicago won this opener last night but that is where it ends. The White Sox were supposed to make some noise in the American League Central but they have done anything but. Chicago is seven games under .500 and it has not been because of just one or two bad stretches as the entire season has been inconsistent. The White Sox have won back-to-back games only three times all season long which is a sign of very inconsistent play. Florida meanwhile has been playing better as it has won eight of its last 12 and the Marlins are 10-11 away from home which isn’t horrible. They have a big edge in pitching today with Chris Volstad. He has a 4.29 Era on the season but it is that high because of one really bad start where he allowed seven runs in 4.1 innings at Colorado. Take that away and his ERA drops to 3.33 in his other seven outings. Even with that start included, his season WHIP is a very solid 1.21. On the other side, Gavin Floyd is having a miserable season and there seems to be no end in sight. He has six non-quality outings in his eight starts on the year including three straight. He has a 7.00 ERA and 1.71 WHIP which are both off the charts. In his last start, even though he gave up just the one walk, Floyd only threw 61 of his 102 pitches for strikes. The White Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games after scoring five runs or more in their previous game while the Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Marlins avenge that loss last night with a big effort this afternoon.

5/21 - 1 Unit on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -110 - Jimmy Boyd
Big letdown spot for Atlanta after such a huge come from behind win against Cincy yesterday that was capped by a walkoff grand slam. It will be tough to travel and get mentally prepared for this one after such an emotional win. Hudson can hurl, but he is certainly overpriced here when you consider that the Braves have lost 6 of his last 8 series opening starts. The Bucs are 1-2 in Ohlendorf's starts this season, but both of those losses only came by a single run. He certainly isn't getting enough respect here when you consider that the Pirates are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150, 4-1 in his last 5 series opening starts and 7-2 in his last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Plus, the Braves are just 2-6 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take the Pirates on the run line.

5/19 - 1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -113 - Jimmy Boyd - In this battle of struggling starters, I'll back the team with the better bats. The Astros are only scoring 2.9 runs per game on the season with a .228 batting average. They've been even worse against southpaw starters, scoring only 2.8 runs per game with a batting average of .225. The Rockies are only hitting .242 and scoring 3.9 runs per game on the road, but that's a lot better than the Astros. Plus, we can expect better than that tonight since the Rockies are hitting .254 and scoring 4.7 runs per game against righty starters. The Rockies haven't come up with a lot of extra base hits this season, but it likely won't matter tonight as Paulino is 0-14 on the money line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 1.4 to 5.6. The Astros are also 0-9 in Paulino's last 9 home starts. The Rockies' Smith doesn't have much better numbers, but with the better lineup behind him, and with the way the Astros have struggled against lefties, he gets the nod here. Cash in with Colorado.

5/18 - 3* Kansas City Royals - Matt Fargo - The Royals win the opener of this series last night to make it four wins in the last five games and that momentum is big as they looking to carry this run forward with their ace on the hill. That win snapped a five-game road losing streak where Kansas City sits at 8-13 on the season. That is not the ideal record to be backing here but Baltimore is not much better at home as it is also five games under .500 with a 7-12 record. Last night was the third straight loss for the Orioles where they have scored a total of six runs and I don’t see that improving here. Despite another solid start to the season, Zack Greinke got his first win of the year in his last outing which was another quality performance, his fifth straight and six in eight trips to the mound this season. He has a 2.73 ERA and 1.12 WHIP on the season, the former being 11th best in the league. Run support has been the reason for the lack of wins but Kansas City is hitting the ball well once again and more importantly, scoring runs. Greinke's overall numbers against the Orioles are not good but that came early on as last season he posted a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in two starts against Baltimore. Kevin Millwood counters for the Orioles and he too has been solid but is not getting wins due to a lack of run support. The difference here is that Baltimore as mentioned is not scoring runs so there is no reason to think it turns around tonight. Millwood is coming off a rough outing against the Mariners and even though Baltimore pulled out the win, he remains winless at 0-4 on the season. The Royals are 6-2 in Greinke’s last eight road starts against a team with a losing record while the Orioles are 17-35 in their last 52 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Also, Baltimore is just 13-38 in its last 51 games following a loss.

5/17 - 1 Unit on Chicago White Sox +132 - Dave Price
The Key: The Sox are showing solid value in the underdog role today when you consider that the Tigers have dropped 15 of their last 21 series openers. Plus, Chicago puts a pitcher on the hill tonight with a long history of beating the Tigers. Garcia is 16-6 in his career (20-6 on the money line) when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 3.76. In fact, the White Sox are a perfect 7-0 in Garcia's last 7 road starts vs. the Tigers. Take the Sox.

5/13 - 1 Unit on Nationals/Rockies UNDER 9.5 - Jimmy Boyd - This series has been all about the Under recently with 5 of the last 7 meetings playing to the Under. Plus, the Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado. This total range is significant also when you consider that the Under is 6-0-1 in the Nationals' last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs and 4-1 in the Rockies' last 5 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. Lannan takes the hill for Washington tonight and the Under is 14-2-2 in his last 18 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. Looking back even further, the Under is 22-7-3 in his last 32 overall starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 runs. In addition, the Under is 6-1-1 in his last 8 road starts. It is also comforting to know that the Under is 8-0 in Lannan's last 8 starts versus an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing an average of 7.3 runs scored in these games. While this play largely has to do with Lannan, it is also certainly worth noting that Chacin is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00 on the season. We'll bet the Under.

5/11 - Atlanta Braves -122 - Dave Price - Braves rolled in Game 1 behind a gem by Hanson, and I like their chances again today with Hudson hurling. Hudson has been brilliant this season, although he hasn't got the best run support. Still, he is the better option when you consider that the Brewers' Bush is carrying a 9.64 home ERA. In fact, the Brewers have dropped Bush's last 7 home starts. Plus, the Brewers haven't proven to be a strong bounce back team when you consider that they are only 1-10 in their last 11 against the money line when revenging a home loss vs. an opponent of 6 runs or more. Bet the Braves.

5/10 - Play On: Toronto +170 - Rocky Atkinson -Toronto is 9-3 this year when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Toronto is 12-4 on the road this year. Toronto is 5-1 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Toronto is 7-2 this year when playing in May. Toronto is 11-2 this year when playing on grass. Toronto has won 7 of their last 8 games overall. Toronto is scoring 5.7 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Brandon Morrow has a 3.64 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

5/9 - 3* Boston Red Sox - Matt Fargo The Yankees have won the first two games of this series in Boston to make it four in a row over the Red Sox but the value lies with the home team tonight in this huge rivalry game in my opinion. Boston had its four-game winning streak snapped on Friday and after yesterday, it dropped back to a game under .500 on the season. While the Yankees have owned this series dating back to last season with wins in 13 of the last 15 meetings, the situation sets up well for the Red Sox to get their second win against the Yankees this year. A.J. Burnett has been solid this season with a 1.99 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through six starts and he is coming off two straight outings where he allowed no runs. This is his second start against Boston this season after receiving a no-decision in the first meeting and he struggled yet again at Fenway Park. In four starts thee since coming over to the Yankees, Burnett has an 11.72 ERA with none of those four games being quality outings. Jon Lester was on the losing end in that game against Burnett although he also received a no-decision. He started slow with three rough outings but he has since settled down and allowed only one run in his last three starts. He did have a string of six straight quality starts against the Yankees so he has what it takes to get through this lineup. Boston falls into a great situation as well. Play on home teams with the moneyline between +125 and -125 with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last three starts. This situation is 37-16 (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The Red Sox are 32-7 in Lester’s last 39 starts as a home favorite while going 17-4 in his last 21 home starts against teams with a winning record.

5/8 - Angels 3units - Matt Fargo - The Angels snapped their seven-game losing streak last night with a resounding win over the Mariners. That loss was the seventh straight for Seattle as the pitching has been horrendous. Looking at tonight’s starters will give people the chance too back the Mariners as they see a mismatch but this is exactly the time to play in contrarian. Doug Fister has gotten off to an incredible start with a 1.29 ERA and 0.80 WHIP through five starts. The problem is that the Mariners are 2-3 in those five games and playing against non-elite pitchers coming off a string of quality starts, he has four, is the way to go as the value is there. Conversely, Joe Saunders has been dreadful as he has a 7.04 ERA and 1.79 WHIP through six games with the Angels going 1-5 in those contests. That is going to scare people off and thus, we get a great number along with it. The saving grace in backing Saunders is that if there is an opponent that he can turn things around against, Seattle is it. He has tossed five straight quality starts against the Mariners including four at Safeco Field where his ERA is a spectacular 0.64 as he has allowed only two runs in 28 innings on the road. Play against American League teams that are averaging 4.5 or fewer rpg going up against a starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.70 or higher after a loss by four runs or more. This situation is 47-20 (70.1 percent) since 1997. The Angels are 15-4 in their last 19 games after a win by six runs or more while the Mariners are 1-10 in their last 11 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. Los Angeles is 7-0 in Saunders last seven starts against Seattle. 3* Los Angeles Angels

5/6 1 Unit on Texas Rangers -145 by Jimmy Boyd - Off back-to-back defeats, I look for the Rangers to pick up a win against the Royals at home tonight. First off, the Royals are just 4-10 in their last 14 meetings with Texas. Secondly, they send a pitcher to the mound that has never beaten the Rangers. In fact, Kyle Davies is 0-3 (0-5 on the money line) lifetime against Texas with an ERA of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.932. Matt Harrison hasn't been very good for Texas this season, but he does have something going for him tonight. He's left-handed. The Royals are just 16-35 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter and only 5-17 in their last 22 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are also just 8-23 in their last 31 vs. the American League West. Take Texas.

5/5 - 1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -151 Dave Price - LOSS - Look for the Cubs to bounce back strong in Game 2 of this series after yesterday's 1-run defeat. Chicago certainly has the edge on the mound tonight with Lilly as Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton enters this contest 0-5 with an ERA of 12.57. The Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh and 27-9 in the last 36 meetings overall. They are also 5-2 in Lilly's last 7 road starts vs. the Pirates. In addition, the Cubs are 5-0 in Lilly's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Cash in with the Cubs.