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9/20: Tom Freese - Detroit starter Rick Porcello has won his last 4 starts allowing just 8 runs in those 4 starts. The Tigers are 21-7 their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Detroit is 10-4 their last 14 home games and they are 51-23 their last 74 home games vs. a team with road win percentage of less than 40%. Kansas City starter Zack Greinke is 11-19 in his 30 starts this year. The Royals 25-54 in the last 79 road starts made by Greinke. The Royals are 0-7 their last Monday games. Kansas is 6-22 their last 28 road games and they are 1-4 with Greinke vs. the Tigers. PLAY DETROIT

9/14: Philadelphia Phillies -147 - Jimmy Boyd - Adalberto Mendez shut the Phillies down in his MLB debut last week, but I don't expect his second outing against the NL East leaders to go as smoothly. Now that the Phillies have seen him, I fully expect them to hit him. Philly has won 15 of its last 18 on the road against the Marlins, including 6 of 7 this year, and it should be in good hands with Cole Hamels, who enters in top form. The southpaw hasn't given up a run in his last 25 innings of work. The Phillies are a dominant 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and I expect them to build on this trend tonight. Take Philly.

9/10: Rob Viniletti - On Friday the MLB Free play is on the Minnesota Twins. Game 967 at 7:05 eastern. The Twins have several nice angles in their favor here tonight. They average 5.8 rpg vs Division teams and have scored over 7 runs a game the past week while winning 7 of 8 games in September. When taking on losing teams in the second half they are 21-9. Cleveland is just 3-9 coming off a day off and are scoring just 3 runs a game the past week. The Twins send C. Pavano to the mound tonight. He has a fine 3.20 road era and has won 3 of 4 vs Cleveland with a solid 2.93 era. Cleveland Counters with F. Carmona tonight. He has struggled at home with a 5-11 record. In his starts vs Minnesota he has a 3-7 record with a terrible 5.58 era. In his last 2 home starts vs the Twins he has allowed 11 earned runs in 13+ innings, losing both times. More of the same tonight. Take the Twins. On Friday there are 2 Big MLB Sides up. College football has started hot as we are 4-0 thus far. Big Saturday card up too. For the free MLB Play its the Twins.

9/7: Jim Feist - Pick LOS ANGELES ANGELS Reason: Last place Cleveland is a long way from home, with the third worst offense in the AL. Erratic Justin Masterson (5-12, 5.01 ERA) is getting too much respect with this betting line. Masterson's start was pushed to Tuesday, as he had to go home to deal with a family matter. This could be Masterson's final start of the season, as the club is mulling moving him to the bullpen to limit his innings count. Trevor Bell of the Angels has been very good, with a 3.63 ERA his last three starts and the Indians haven't seen him in 2010. Play the LA Angels.

8/30: Rob Vinciletti On Monday the MLB Free play is on the Chicago Whitesox. Game 917 at 7:05 eastern. Chicago fits a nice system here that plays on road favorites off a home favored loss with a total that was 8 or less vs an opponent off a home loss. These road teams have cashed nearly 80% long term. Tonight the Whitesox have M. Buehrle on the mound and he has a solid 3.33 road era. Cleveland counters with M. Talbot. In his home starts Talbot has been brutal with a 5.82 era and a 7.36 era over his past 3 starts. Chicago has won 6 of 8 on Mondays and are averaging over 6 runs per game the past week. With Manny looming the sox have made it clear they will not roll over. On Monday the NL West game has a 100% Power system. In other action we have a totals system that averages nearly 12 runs per game and Finally an 11-1 road warrior system.. Tonight I will also have a 3 unit free play on the radio show at 8:05 eastern on 88.9 wsia.fm with Bandbox show host Anthony Pierno. For the free play tonight take the Whitesox. RV

8/28: St. Louis Cardinals -107 - Jimmy Boyd The Cards ended their 3-game skid Friday, and I look for them to build on that win here tonight. The Nationals are struggling, having lost 5 of their last 6 games, and I expect those struggles to continue with Hernandez on the hill. Hernandez has been strong for most of the season, but he has been running out of gas down the stretch. The Nats have dropped each of his last 4 starts, and he is carrying an ERA of 6.12 over his last 3. It is also worth noting that he is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts against St. Louis. Lohse takes the ball for the Cards, working off a solid outing against Pittsburgh. I expect him to put together another strong performance tonight against a club he has won 5 straight starts against on the money line. The Cardinals are 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in this series. Take St. Louis.

8/27: Jimmy Boyd - LA Angels -138 The Angels were swept in Baltimore earlier this month, and Trevor Bell was on the mound in one of those contests. That series loss will provide plenty of motivation for the Halos and their right-hander as he makes his first home start tonight. The Orioles have won Brad Bergesen's last 4 starts, but they find themselves in a tough spot tonight. They were blown out yesterday by the White Sox, and then had to make the lengthy trip to LA. Meanwhile, the Angels have been at home waiting, and they are coming off an impressive 12-3 win over Tampa Bay. The O's are just 18-45 on the road this season and 3-14 in Bergesen's last 17 road starts. They are also just 8-21 in their last 29 road meetings with the Angels. In addition, the Halos are 12-1 over the last 3 seasons after a game where they had 17 or more hits, winning in this situation by an average score of 7.2 to 3.5. Take the Angels.

8/26: Matt Fargo - The Indians continue their rough season as they are now 26 games under .500 for the year including nine games under .500 at home. Cleveland is finding it very hard to score runs right now and I don’t see that changing Thursday. The Indians, losers of five straight games, have scored more than one run only once over this span and have plated a total of just four runs over this five-game stretch. Going back further, Cleveland is 3-13 over its last 16 games, scoring three runs or fewer 10 times. Oakland had a successful homestand prior to this roadtrip and it is continuing right where it left off. The pitching has been outstanding and coupled with the Indians inability to score, it sets up another great spot at a reasonable price. The A’s have allowed three runs or fewer in 15 of their last 21 games and they have allowed no more than five runs in any game over that span. This has improved the team ERA to 3.48 which is the best in the American League. To no surprise, Oakland has the starting pitching advantage again Thursday. The A’s go with Vin Mazzaro and he has been spot on for a while now. He has tossed four straight quality outings as well as quality performances in 10 of his last 11 trips to the hill. His ERA over this 11-game stretch is an outstanding 2.76. On the road this season he has a 3.88 ERA which is only that high because of one bad game and six of those eight road starts have been quality versions. He allowed one run in 7.1 innings in Cleveland in his lone start against the Indians this year. He is opposed by Justin Masterson who is having a very tough time this season. He has a 5.33 ERA on the year and of his 25 starts, only nine have been quality outings. To no surprise, Cleveland is just 8-17 in those games. He has pitched much better at home but he still is not getting the wins despite decent run support. That run support will diminish here and in two career starts against the A’s, he is 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.75 WHIP. Masterson is 3-10 in 17 nighttime starts on the season. Cleveland is 1-11 in Masterson’s 12 starts in the second half of the season over the last two years against American League teams with a batting average of .265 or worse while also going 4-16 in his 20 starts with a moneyline between +125 and -125. 3* Oakland

8/25: San Diego - Dennis Macklin - DMack is 8-2 with his L10 MLB Plays of the Day. Tonight, pitching, techs, situation .... this one has it all. If you are looking to bet one game for whatever you want to win, this is it! Don't miss it! It's tough laying this type of number with a team that doesn't hit all that much in a park that's not real hitter friendly but ... there is no denying that the Padres are the bomb (13-3 L16) in their friendly digs and tonight's starter Wade Leblanc feels right at home in Petco going 2-1 with stingy 2.16 ERA in his L6 home starts. Joe Saunders is 0-3 with a 7.00 in his L3 starts which is even preferable to the DBack pen which may be the worst in MLB history. San Diego definitely worth a flier and should be included in exotics.

8/23: LA Dodgers -123 - Jimmy Boyd - With Lilly stepping to the mound, the Dodgers have the edge tonight. Lilly is 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and he has only allowed 5 hits and given up no runs in his last 2 outings. He has also been lights out in Miller Park, where he has an ERA of 0.64 this season (2 starts), and where he is holding the Brewers to a .176 average in his last 4 starts. Bush takes the mound for Milwaukee, and he is carrying an ERA of 4.62 at home this season. That number is up to 5.19 over his last 3 starts. The Brewers are 0-6 in Bush's last 6 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the National League West. The Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 in Milwaukee, and I look for them to build on that mark behind Lilly this evening.8/21: FLORIDA MARLINS - Jim Feist - Reason: Houston is just awful on the road, and part of the reason is offense, ranked second to last in the NL in runs scored. Their last road trip the Astros ended it with 4 straight losses, allowing 30 runs. Florida has home field and a winning record the last five starts made by Chris Volstad. He is far better at home than on the road, with a 3.61 ERA in this stadium. Play the Marlins.

8/18: Atlanta Braves -1½+105 - Kyle Hunter - The Atlanta Braves are playing great baseball at home, and Tim Hudson is pitching as well as anyone in baseball of late. Hudson has given up 2 earned runs in his last 37 innings pitched. That is absolutely dominating on the mound! Livan Hernandez has pitched well this year, but the Nationals are just 2-7 in his last 9 road starts. The Nationals are also only 5-11 in his 16 starts against Atlanta. On the other hand, the Braves are 9-3 in Hudson's last 12 against Washington. The clear pitching edge goes to the Braves, and the Braves have the better lineup and defense as well. Take the Braves -1.5 in this one!

8/17: Philadelphia -145 (Zito/Oswalt) Listed Rocky Atkinson -
Philadelphia is now 11-3 in the month of August and have won 4 of their last 5 games overall. Philadelphia is 36-19 at home this year. Barry Zito is 2-4 on the road this year. Roy Oswalt has a 3.34 ERA overall this year and has a 2.79 ERA his last 3 starts. Oswalt does have a losing record overall this year but he had very little run support in Houston. Now he has a good Phillies hitting team behing him to make his life a little easier. We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight!

8/16: Houston Astros - Kyle Hunter - The Houston Astros aren't exactly the type of team I like to place a lot of faith in, but Wandy Rodriguez is absolutely dealing right now. Rodriguez has given up two earned runs in his last four starts combined. The Astros are 20-9 in his last 29 home starts. The Mets have been falling apart of late. They are a miserable 7-19 in their last 26 road games and just 1-6 in Jonathan Niese's last 7 starts overall. The Astros have a huge pitching advantage in this one and the game is on their home field. I think there is a lot of value in the Astros moneyline here.

8/15 : Chicago White Sox -145 - Dave Price
The Key: Like the Sox today with Garcia on the hill when you consider they are 14-2 in his last 16 starts vs. the Tigers. The White Sox are also 6-0 in Garcia's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Tigers are struggling and so is Galarraga. They are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win and only 1-5 in Galarraga's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the South Siders.

8/14 - Atlanta Braves -135 - David Price- The Key: The Braves are an incredible 40-15 at home, and the Dodgers enter this contest having dropped 12 of their last 14 on the road. The Dodgers have lost 6 of their last 8 in Atlanta. Also, the Braves are 15-6 in Lowe's last 21 home starts, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 Saturday starts. Bet the Braves.

8/5 - San Francisco Giants -102 Jimmy Boyd - The Giants are worth a shot with the reigning 2-time NL Cy Young winner on the hill at this price. The Giants are 21-6 in their last 27 overall. They did endure a rare loss during this run yesterday, but they are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 games following a defeat. They have also won Lincecum's last 5 starts. Plus, Lincecum has owned the Braves to the tune of 6-1 with an ERA of 2.70 in his career. Jurrjens takes the mound for the Braves, and they have lost his last 2 starts. In those outings, he has been touched for 9 runs in just 13 2/3 innings of work. Jurrjens has also lost 2 of 3 career starts versus Atlanta. The Braves picked up a win over the Mets yesterday, but they are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a victory. Take the Giants.

Pick Archive

July 2010